Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

AQ oop in Tree Bet Pot vs Tard Mass Grinder.

Results 1 to 7 of 7

Threaded View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #1

    Default AQ oop in Tree Bet Pot vs Tard Mass Grinder.

    Villain is rivichico a losing rakeback guy whos runs 17/15. He's not a nit through and through as he enjoy 3 betting light in position, cold 4 bet bluffing, and more importantly here, flatting 3 bets IP with a pretty wide range. His fold to 3 bet is 59%, he 4 bets like 14% of the time.

    So pre is ldo standard, I'll likely just 3 bet jam this vs him 100 deep and be fairly okay with it. Trying to get a bunch of calls from the dominmated boradways he'll continue with mainly though.

    Flop meh not much to say.

    Okay so the J is a shitty card. Makes a load of his 2nd best hands into trips and given his tendency to flat 3 bets fairly wide he has a good amount of Jx here. He also likes to 4 bet stuff like QQ-AA in these spots and prolly JJ TT most of the time too. He likely has some worse aces aswell but don't see how I can possibly go for 3 strets here. He folds to 38% of c bet in 3-bet post over 2.3k hands, so I think it's unlilely he floats with total air here. His range on the turn is likely this sort of thing:

    [AQs-A9s,KTs+,QJs,JTs,AQo-ATo,KJo+]

    Now, out of this kind of range the floats are bluffing, the aces are checking (mostly) and the jacks are betting. So If I c/c.....



    Board: Ac Jd 2d Jh

    Hand 0: 52.871%
    { AQs-AJs, KTs+, QJs, JTs, AQo-AJo, KJo+ }
    Hand 1: 47.129%
    { AdQh }

    This will be + EV obv but betting could be more so and I'm not sure how much he'll fire the river with his air if I c/c probably not nearly as often since I have Ax all the time after I call turn, but he is a tard so idk.

    If I bet the turn like half pot...

    Board: Ac Jd 2d Jh

    Hand 0: 60.014%
    { AQs-A9s, KJs, QJs, JTs, AQo-ATo, KJo }
    Hand 1: 39.986%
    { AdQh }

    Kinda worse, but in this case the river is an easy easy c/f and I don't risk making big mistakes. I get all the dead money from his floats here aswell while still not doing too horribly vs his likely continuing range.

    B/F turn and C/F river sound best?

    Thoughts on these ranges/my analysis so far?

    $0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
    6 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG schukijanin ($41)
    UTG+1 Tilo0 ($156.60)
    CO rivichico ($101.80)
    BTN bleurain ($108.50)
    SB Hero ($159.95)
    BB vadima ($103)

    Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is SB
    2 folds, rivichico raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero raises to $10.50, 1 fold, rivichico calls $7.50

    Flop: ($22, 2 players)
    Hero bets $11, rivichico calls $11

    Turn: ($44, 2 players)
    Hero ($138.45)?
    Last edited by Carroters; 01-14-2011 at 02:55 PM.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •