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5NL FR KK on AKQ flop

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  1. #1
    daviddem's Avatar
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    Default 5NL FR KK on AKQ flop

    Only 22 hands on villain but he seems to have loose-aggressive tendencies, to say the least: 35/26/2.0AF/40%AggFreq

    The bet on the flop is too small I think, I was hoping to induce a raise by betting small, with the flop hitting everybody's range. Obviously this cunning plan miserably failed.

    The bet on the turn I think is also too small because it leaves a full PSB for the river. Would have been better to size it to have 2/3 to 3/4 PSB left on the river. On the spot I was more thinking about not folding his weak two pairs and top pair hands.

    River: the T is a real bad card because of all the J's in his range. I see him getting to the river with two pairs or pair+gutshot hands {JJ,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,JTs,ATo+,KJo+,QJo,JTo}, although this may be optimistic because I think he would have raised a lot of the two pair hands on the flop or the turn. Against this range, I have 34.3% equity. What's better? check, blocking bet?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    saw flop

    MP1 ($1.66)
    MP2 ($4.93)
    MP3 ($8.12)
    CO ($3.50)
    Button ($5.51)
    Hero (SB) ($5)
    BB ($4.87)
    UTG ($2.71)
    UTG+1 ($5.07)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with K, K
    2 folds, MP1 calls $0.05, 2 folds, CO (poster) checks, 1 fold, Hero bets $0.23, BB calls $0.20, MP1 calls $0.20, 1 fold

    Flop: ($0.80) K, A, Q (3 players)
    Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40, 1 fold

    Turn: ($1.60) 8 (2 players)
    Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

    River: ($3.60) 10 (2 players)

    Hero?
    Last edited by daviddem; 12-16-2010 at 11:02 PM.
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