5NL FR - AA vs TAG

[daviddem]

Opp is 12/10 over 26 hands. Raises and cbets his small pairs in LP, raises AQ. 100% cbet. MP3 is a 87/15 luckbox.

He calls the preflop raise with AQ+,22-QQ. Not sure whether he would reraise QQ, but I would expect he would from a 12/10 (I play 12/10 at the moment, and I definitely reraise QQ here). Also not sure whether he calls a UTG raise with AQ.

He raises the flop with 44,TT,QQ,AQ. His sizing tells me he has a clue, although I personally would probably raise a bit more with one left to act and the drawy board. Against this range I have 44.7% equity. If QQ is not there, I have 52.4% equity. If AQ is not there then obviously I am crushed.

Is this a shove? Call? Doesn't look like a fold, but I expect to be shown sets a fair bit of the time here.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

CO ($7.33)
Button ($5)
SB ($10.01)
BB ($5.46)
Hero (UTG) ($6.15)
UTG+1 ($5.45)
MP1 ($5.05)
MP2 ($5)
MP3 ($25.77)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, A
Hero bets $0.20, UTG+1 calls $0.20, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.20, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.67) 10, Q, 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $0.60, UTG+1 raises to $1.48, 1 fold

[kmind]

I would fold. I'd say he has a very strong range here and we only beat KK which doesn't play this way 100% of the time. Really doubt he plays AQ this way esp. with blockers.

[pocketfours]

Yah wouldn't worry about being exploited at these stakes. Muck it.

[daviddem]

Well I did muck it. Seemed nitty on the spot, but I also have to add that my own image was very nitty since it was only the second hand I was playing out of 26, so the more I think about it, the more I doubt he flats a UTG raise in UTG+1 with AQ. Also since I pot the flop OOP against two opps, he must know I have a decent hand. My best guess is TT,44.

[spoonitnow]

Yah wouldn't worry about being exploited at these stakes. Muck it.

omfg bc quote of the year