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5NL Full Ring Hand - Overpair on Dry Flop
I've got a great PF hand w/KK. The call by BB is pretty standard given his stats. On the flop, he raises my cbet, which indicates has a good hand. I wouldn't expect a bluff from a passive player. He could have {A2s, TT, JJ, QQ, KQ, AQ, AA}. I call because I know I'm ahead of his range. Pokerstove says it's 65% to 35%. Also, by calling the raise, I rep a strong hand and maybe he'll slow down without a legit hand.
On the Turn, he quickly bet the pot. My read was that he wanted to get the money in. On the Turn, I narrow his range to {A2s, QQ, KQ, AQ, AA} which Pokerstove puts me at a 58% to 42% favorite. If I take out KQ, I'm slightly behind 48% to 52%. I guess either calling or folding wouldn't be a big mistake here. What do you guys think?
Villian is 39/0/0 over 39 hands. He had 'raised C-bet Vs PFR' 2 of 3 times. He hadn't seen any showdowns, but had WWSF of 42%.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP2 ($10.08)
Hero (CO) ($5.93)
Button ($1.93)
SB ($6.10)
BB ($10.27)
UTG ($4.93)
UTG+1 ($10.53)
MP1 ($15.30)
Preflop: Hero is CO with K , K
4 folds, Hero bets $0.20, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15
Flop: ($0.42) 2 , Q , 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($2.02) 10 (2 players)
BB bets $2.05, Hero ?
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