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100NL, JJ vs nit facing all-in on turn in 3 bet pot

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  1. #1

    Default 100NL, JJ vs nit facing all-in on turn in 3 bet pot

    villian is 17/14/1.4 with 36% fold to 3 bet and 25% ATS% over 950 hands. I checked on this flush turn cuz he wouldnt call with worse in his range given his nitty stats. Should we c/f,b/f or c/c ?

    $0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
    PokerStars
    6 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG the clêaner ($111.30)
    UTG+1 glissdaddy ($195)
    CO IHATEUANDU ($104.70)
    BTN cs_sitz ($173.10)
    SB Tanner2007 ($70.80)
    BB Hero ($111.40)

    Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is BB
    2 folds, IHATEUANDU raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero raises to $12, IHATEUANDU calls $9

    Flop: ($24.50, 2 players)
    Hero bets $17, IHATEUANDU calls $17

    Turn: ($58.50, 2 players)
    Hero checks, IHATEUANDU bets $75.70, Hero ?
    Last edited by pokerfan; 02-25-2010 at 09:42 PM.
  2. #2
    Why are you 3betting JJ in the first place vs a nit, if you're so unsure of your hand in a 3bet pot on the turn?

    I would just bet this turn myself, if I played the hand this way. As played, I can't imagine folding.

    I'd probably flat this a lot pre vs nits though.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  3. #3
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    EZ fold vs nit imo.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24 View Post
    Why are you 3betting JJ in the first place vs a nit, if you're so unsure of your hand in a 3bet pot on the turn?

    I would just bet this turn myself, if I played the hand this way. As played, I can't imagine folding.

    I'd probably flat this a lot pre vs nits though.
    Is 17/14 truly a nit in any 6-max games? So we flat OOP and play a guessing game vs nit CO/BT open all the time? I forgot to mention that his fold to 3 bet% is only 36% though. BTW, these 6-max stats are from 500K hand histories i bought last month.
    Last edited by pokerfan; 02-25-2010 at 09:42 PM.
  5. #5
    Whats his 4bet stat?

    If he has a high 4bet stat then we're pretty much only worried about a flush here. A tight player might not even have that many SC's here necessarily. Some percentage he might raise flop and another percentage he might not jam turn.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24 View Post
    Whats his 4bet stat?

    If he has a high 4bet stat then we're pretty much only worried about a flush here. A tight player might not even have that many SC's here necessarily. Some percentage he might raise flop and another percentage he might not jam turn.
    Oh, boy. I just found out about his 4 bet% which is impressive 0%(0/11). So this is a clear c/f,right?
  7. #7
    Galapogos's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by pokerfan View Post
    Oh, boy. I just found out about his 4 bet% which is impressive 0%(0/11). So this is a clear c/f,right?
    It already was imo


    Quote Originally Posted by sauce123
    I don't get why you insist on stacking off with like jack high all the time.
  8. #8
    Yah I would c/f if he never 4bets.

    Though I would also still flat this pre, since you seem torn on your reasoning. You 3bet him because you say he calls 36% of 3bets and his range is wide. But you don't think his range is wide enough to double barrel on a board where you have an overpair and a club.

    Would you be scared on a 5d turn?
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  9. #9
    I like b/c better than c/f. Even though he is a nit he has to think that this is a good spot to jam as a bluff or for value coz ur hand is pretty face up.
    Last edited by shakesss; 02-26-2010 at 06:01 PM.
  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by shakesss View Post
    I like b/f better than c/f. Even though he is a nit he has to think that this is a good spot to jam as a bluff or for value coz ur hand is pretty face up.
    i cant imagine that we B/F after putting 2/3 stack in the pot. B/C or c/f IMO.
  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by pokerfan View Post
    i cant imagine that we B/F after putting 2/3 stack in the pot. B/C or c/f IMO.
    Sorry about that. Typo.
  12. #12
    mixchange's Avatar
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    im pretty sure everyone knows to fold just from the thread title. but I agree, don't 3b here!

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