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400nl flopped boat, thin 3 streets?

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  1. #1
    bikes's Avatar
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    Default 400nl flopped boat, thin 3 streets?

    Villain is a complete unknown to me TheCleaner11, but I'm pretty sure he's a reg.

    That all said this spot kinda sucks. I feel like he would have c/r'ed the turn with AK and AT but I'm not entirely sure and the range I'm betting against would be like J9cc and AQ possibly AJ. I feel like he can C/R those hands as well turning them into bluffs which makes made me less inclined to vb this river as well. I'm also not entirely sure he'd call 3 streets with AJ either as all he beats is a bluff and I have like 1 of those in my entire range.


    How much are we vbing?
    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) -

    SB ($400)
    BB ($406)
    UTG ($355.50)
    UTG+1 ($400)
    MP1 ($471.90)
    MP2 ($846.40)
    Hero (CO) ($410.80)
    Button ($1294.90)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 10, 10
    4 folds, Hero bets $12, 1 fold, SB calls $10, 1 fold

    Flop: ($28) 10, A, A (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $20, SB calls $20

    Turn: ($68) 8 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $40, SB calls $40

    River: ($148) K (2 players)
    SB checks

    ?wut
  2. #2
    Stacks's Avatar
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    Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
    I don't see how we couldn't value bet this river. I think I b/f $111.
  3. #3
    bikes's Avatar
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    ffs. I screwed up the OP. obv we are betting, i considered checking for all of 3s, the question is how much to bet.

    ?wut
  4. #4
    he's capable of c/f the river if he thinks you're a reg but if you are a random to him then we wouldn't. I wouldn't bet more than $120
  5. #5
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I like a bet of about $120 as well.

    I can't see villain wanting to check raise river with much less than a boat, including flushes of course.
  6. #6
    b/f $108

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