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25NL AA facing turn donkbet on draw heavy board

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  1. #1

    Default 25NL AA facing turn donkbet on draw heavy board

    No other reads, except that he's kind of fishy, and has minraised preflop the last 3-4 hands in a row. After villain's turn bet, he has ~$10 in his stack, and pot is ~$20.

    Villain 38/14/3, fold 3bet 0:

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    MP3 ($22.62)
    CO ($21.03)
    Button ($25.06)
    SB ($13.38)
    BB ($25)
    UTG ($21.41)
    UTG+1 ($22.59)
    MP1 ($11.15)
    Hero (MP2) ($25)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, A
    1 fold, UTG+1 bets $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls $1.25

    Flop: ($3.85) J, Q, 4 (2 players)
    UTG+1 bets $2, Hero raises to $6, UTG+1 calls $4

    Turn: ($15.85) K (2 players)
    UTG+1 bets $4.50

    Total pot: $15.85
  2. #2
    Well, folding isn't an option.

    How strong do you think his donk lead is? (i.e. range) Regardless you're going to have pretty damn nice equity.
  3. #3
    I"m shoving here myself but that damn sure isn't a reason for anybody else to.
    "You start the game with a full pot o’ luck and an empty pot o’ experience...
    The object is to fill the pot of experience before you empty the pot of luck."

    Quote Originally Posted by XxStacksxX View Post
    Do you have testicles? If so, learn to bet like it
  4. #4
    I think this is actually a pretty easy shove- even if you don't stove any TPTK hands in his range you still have nice equity w the Ad and a T giving you a straight
    I'm a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work the more I have of it.
    -Thomas Jefferson

    Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work.
    -Thomas Edison
  5. #5
    Seems like an easy call, as you have 14 outs to win (I consider 9 diamonds, 3 Tens and 2 Aces) even if you put him on KK (with QQ he would have probably re-raised you on the flop already).
    I do not think he has already made his flush (normal person would have already folded with JT of diamonds to your re-raise pre-flop, AT also does not do - fold you your re-raise after the flop).
    so your odds to draw winning hand are 30%, while you have to put $4.5 to win $20.35 (only 22% of the pot).
  6. #6
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Posts
    104
    Location
    Linköping, Sweden
    I think shoving would be my choice.
    I dont see any way to get away from the hand if you call, and there are some possible scenarios where opponent might fold on the river. If he has TT with one diamond for instance. (not very probable but hey)

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