10 nl second 10k hands stat check

[Keith]

By keith_mm at 2009-06-22

I can't really explain the difference between pre 3800 and post 3800 hands on the graph . Pre I seemed to be winning without showdown and post it seems like its all show down winnings with non showdown results plunging. I've consciously tried to tighten up early after the comments after the first 10k stats.Blinds I'll try and steal whenever i get the opportunity as long as the villain is likely to fold. If he's a station i'll either complete better 50% of hands and see a flop or toss the crap.

I have no idea how you managed to achieve a 43.8% W$SD, but I think it's just sample size unless you lagged it up in the first 4K hands for some reason (why is your red line going up so much and then going sharp down?)

your low Agg% and AF seem to imply you're not betting/raising enough
not sure if you should be calling 3bs 37% unless a lot of those are tiny 3bs since a lot of your opponents are 3bing only the nuts

[Keith]

I've been thinking about this a lot and finally managed to work it out (I think). I was running into lots of check raises on the with people slow playing monsters. Net effect has been to transfer red line winnings (they fold to river bet) to show down winnings.
Looking at the graph though, my win rate seems to have slowed by doing this as I'm not getting any river value from

: Ax missed draws who think that A high may still be good
: bottom pair hands when my draws miss. Checking behind just gives them a showdown win instead of having to make a decision as to whether their second/bottom pair is good or even high cards as they missed their draw too.
: From my top pair hands where I protecting myself against two pair and sets.

the advantages are people slow playing monsters don't get to check raise me and put me to a decisionto fold or call that extra river bet. There do seem to be an awful lot of people slow playing their monsters lately and checking behind on the river has shown me this but for every time I think I did the right thing checking behind there I end up thinking that I'd probably have won the hand if i'd bet the river as they'd have folded the air /bottom pair type hands.

This is something I'm going to have to work on to try and figure out who to check behind and who to bluff on the river having shown aggression throughout the hand.

[AFchung]

you're playing way too passively if your AF is that low

[surviva316]

my AF is only slightly higher, and i've found that my AF is a lot closer to 3-5 at the majority of my sessions, yet there is like that one table where i have a .7 AF because there's some donk who calls any PFR and then min bets every street with ATC on any flop, so i'm making a lot of calls with underpairs hoping to hit my set or BD's plus overcards to hit something.

[Keith]

I'm finding that too . JUst end up bloating the pot soI wait till i hit then start betting into them and they call down