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Thin value shove against this villain?

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  1. #1

    Default Thin value shove against this villain?

    Villain is 7/7 over 128 hands.

    Thoughts on value shove? His range is AsKs, AsQs, JJ+?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    saw flop

    Hero (CO) ($82.75)
    Button ($16.20)
    SB ($50)
    BB ($76.80)
    UTG ($145.45)
    UTG+1 ($29.75)
    MP1 ($50)
    MP2 ($39.65)
    MP3 ($49.25)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 2, 2
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, 1 fold, SB bets $3, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $2.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50

    Flop: ($10) 2, 5, J (3 players)
    SB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $6, SB calls $6, 1 fold

    Turn: ($22) 9 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $16, SB calls $16

    River: ($54) 3 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $25, SB calls $25 (All-In)

    Total pot: $104 | Rake: $3
  2. #2
    this isn't even remotely thin. epic fistpump

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  3. #3
    on an epic downswing right now, hence the creation of 13532532 topics

    thanks for the gif badgers. makes me feel better actually hahaha
  4. #4
    mixchange's Avatar
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    bigger flop and turn bets

    ignore results on this hand, w/e if we lost
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by mixchange
    bigger flop and turn bets

    ignore results on this hand, w/e if we lost
    flop bet probably shouldve been a bit bigger, but i think turn is fine.

    aren't stacks flying in the middle regardless of bet sizing?
  6. #6
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    i consider checking this river behind
  7. #7
    mixchange's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AFchung
    Quote Originally Posted by mixchange
    bigger flop and turn bets

    ignore results on this hand, w/e if we lost
    flop bet probably shouldve been a bit bigger, but i think turn is fine.

    aren't stacks flying in the middle regardless of bet sizing?

    Right, turn bet is good sizing as played. What I meant to say was bet bigger on flop so our turn bet is larger. He's either gonna fold this flop, or call whatever you bet. $8 or $9 sounds good to me.

    If this weren't a 3b pot I wouldn't shove the river, but considering he has less FD's in his range its fine
  8. #8
    this is not a 3bet pot

    I just can't see FDs checking to us that much on this river, and I think JJ raises flop a lot on this board. That is why I think this is such a clear shovel.
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  9. #9
    mixchange's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badgers
    this is not a 3bet pot

    I just can't see FDs checking to us that much on this river, and I think JJ raises flop a lot on this board. That is why I think this is such a clear shovel.

    Right, I misspoke. I meant he is somewhat less likely as the raiser of the limpers to hold a FD.

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