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AA, OOP versus a solid player

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  1. #1

    Default AA, OOP versus a solid player

    Do I need to bet-fold the turn here? My play feels very weak-tight, but I feel very exploitable by betting OOP on the turn.

    Villain seems solid, running at 13/10/3.0 over about 40 hands. I don't have any specific notes on this player and he has not yet been c-bet into, so there are no response to c-bet stats. Given his PF play, a set seems his most likely holding.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($5.05)
    Hero (SB) ($12.05)
    BB ($6)
    UTG ($14.60)
    UTG+1 ($10)
    MP1 ($10.25)
    MP2 ($2)
    CO ($9.75)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
    UTG calls $0.10, 4 folds, Button calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.40, Button calls $0.40

    Flop: ($1.60) 6, 5, 4 (3 players)
    Hero bets $1.10, UTG calls $1.10, 1 fold

    Turn: ($3.80) 10 (2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

    River: ($6.80) 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero folds

    Total pot: $6.80 | Rake: $0.30
  2. #2
    what am I missing here?
    Congratulations, you've won your dick's weight in sweets! Decode the message in the above post to find out how to claim your tic-tac
  3. #3
    Guest
    that's a sick fold
    I probably tell myself I need to win 25% of the time and call him down
  4. #4
    So checking the turn > betting the turn? why?
  5. #5
    Muzzard's Avatar
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    Aug 2006
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    b/f turn prob vs this guy.

    As played I c/c river as the 6 was a good card, it means he flops less sets.
  6. #6
    This depends a lot on what you think his UTG limping range is. It probably has a lor of 22-55 in it, and he might peel w/33 making us even money vs. a likely continuing range. B/f the turn.

    Yes, this was very weaktight imo. Honestly, he called the flop bet and you shut down with an overpair?
    Ich grolle nicht...

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