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25NL - mid trips on mono flop

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  1. #1

    Default 25NL - mid trips on mono flop

    Villain is a 58/15. Is this simply a crying call?

    $0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
    8 players
    Converted at weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG bobos7 ($24.75)
    UTG+1 xtreme1515 ($11.55)
    MP1 xonrne ($3.00)
    MP2 Quelle84 ($23.05)
    CO Hero ($25.60)
    BTN munichtwo ($3.45)
    SB $p_bracelet$ ($6.30)
    BB Atze2007 ($13.70)
    [xtreme1515 posted $0.35]

    Pre-flop: ($0.70, 8 players) Hero is CO
    bobos7 calls $0.25, xtreme1515 checks, 1 fold, Quelle84 calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, 2 folds, Atze2007 checks

    Flop: ($1.45, 5 players)
    Atze2007 checks, bobos7 bets $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.90, Atze2007 folds, bobos7 goes all-in $24.50, $21.60 to Hero ($22.45)?
  2. #2
    Guest
    I would only call if he's capable of having anything less than a flush here
    is the guy like a fish or a gambooler?
  3. #3
    your flop raise size sucks so bad I could care less what he did afterwards
  4. #4
    i insta call here
    i feel nethin can be had here from TPTK with the A of spades to a str8 flush draw to an over pair
    idk many people who shove the flop with a made flush unless its low cards like 56s or 34s
  5. #5
    I would call here. like shyguy, I'm thinking that he's not shoving with a made flush in this spot. Plus, even if he has the flush, you've still got outs.
  6. #6
    wow raise preflop
  7. #7
    I don't see why he would lead if he did in fact have the flush right off the bat, seems like a check to me. Doing that little lead makes me believe he has the nut flush draw...

    Maybe the reraise could have been a bit more...
  8. #8
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by ArcadianRock
    I don't see why he would lead if he did in fact have the flush right off the bat, seems like a check to me. Doing that little lead makes me believe he has the nut flush draw...

    Maybe the reraise could have been a bit more...
    if he has the nut flush draw he's more likely to check than if he has 5s6s

    DUCY?
  9. #9
    1/ Yes he will lead with a made flush in a 5 way pot with 58/15 stats.
    2/ We have 7-10 outs here depending on the turn card, there's nowhere near enough dead money to make this a call.
    3/ iopq got it in one, unless he's capable of doing this without the flush it's a fold.
    4/ What you have there is a set, not trips. Trips = 2 on board, 1 in hand and set = 1 on board, 2 in hand.
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  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by shyguy03533
    i insta call here
    i feel nethin can be had here from TPTK with the A of spades to a str8 flush draw to an over pair
    idk many people who shove the flop with a made flush unless its low cards like 56s or 34s
    do you know many people w 58/15 stats? this guy's probably seen so many flops that he's sick of missing and c/f so when he finally gets the nuts he's goin' all in. or maybe he's one of those idiots who always plays his hands to their opposite strength: bluffing with air and slow playing the goods. without any reads we can't assume this, or anything else for that matter on a player with tard stats

    ps: i notice you only put suited connectors in his lower flushing range for a player who plays 58%...
  11. #11
    What where you trying to accomplish with the flop raise? I think you have to ask yourself, do you want to be committed here? If not, just call his dollar bet and move on to the turn and keep the pot small.
    If you where going to raise you should of been ready for his actions with a plan. If he folds, good, I win. If he calls, thats ok also, I guess, but I'm kinda committed. What if he re-raises me back? Do I want him to re-raise me back? I don't think you do, I'd just call and use pot control.
    As played I'm folding, I'm not risking my stack on a 58/15 player who limped and easily could have any two spades. There are better hands to take this guys money.
  12. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by dtamburin
    What where you trying to accomplish with the flop raise? I think you have to ask yourself, do you want to be committed here? If not, just call his dollar bet and move on to the turn and keep the pot small.
    if you feel committed to any 5 dollar pot with a $22 stack, i fear for your poker soul
  13. #13
    Sorry surviva316, maybe I'm not explaining myself well. I always thought you should make a commitment decision as early as possible. Subject to change with more intel when your putting 10% plus of your stack in the pot, 12.5% to be extact, but I'm estimating. Please correct me if i am wrong.
    Commitment threshold is when the pot is around 1/4 of remaining short stack money. In this case a little less than 6 dollars. By making the 2.90 cent bet he will be crossing or on the verge of this threshold.
  14. #14
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
    your flop raise size sucks so bad I could care less what he did afterwards
    Really? I thought it was small. but is 2.9 really that horribad? I thought 3-4 was standard.

    I mean Hero could put in a huuuuuuuudge re-raise so that if villain does shove he's getting 2-1 on his call turning this into a snap call
    but the raise would be so large, we'd polarize our villains raize, and we'd only be snapcalling when we are behind, and our opponent would always be folding with worse hands that had some value... I think.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  15. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by Ragnar4
    Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
    your flop raise size sucks so bad I could care less what he did afterwards
    Really? I thought it was small. but is 2.9 really that horribad? I thought 3-4 was standard.
    I second this demand for explanation. then again i always ask spenda to spoon feed me
  16. #16
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by surviva316
    Quote Originally Posted by Ragnar4
    Quote Originally Posted by bigspenda73
    your flop raise size sucks so bad I could care less what he did afterwards
    Really? I thought it was small. but is 2.9 really that horribad? I thought 3-4 was standard.
    I second this demand for explanation. then again i always ask spenda to spoon feed me
    you can just call the flop and the turn and find out if you suck out on him without having to put in your entire stack
    say the turn is a 3
    the pot is only 3.45, he bets $3
    you raise to $9
    he calls, pot is $21.45
    river is a blank
    you shove, he tanks and calls

    now say the turn and the river are both blanks
    you spend $4 going to the river

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