AQ 50nl

[Muzzard]

vs 10/8 nit who calls open raises about 5%, meaning he's rarely if ever calling with SC's, note he can't have Axcc or KQcc coz of the board and our hand. He'd raise a set on this flop too and AK I'd imagine. Do we just bet? Or do we try and gain some value from TT-QQ type hands?

$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Profiles and Stacks:
UTG ($28.70) 0.0/0.0/0.0 (8)
UTG+1 ($50.00) 19.3/8.1/1.9 (420)
Hero (MP1) ($50.00) 10.9/8.1/2.7 (20609)
MP2 ($8.50) 4.2/4.0/3.5 (572)
MP3 ($49.85) 14.7/8.4/2.2 (382)
CO ($49.25) 8.7/5.5/1.8 (748)
BTN ($50.00) 11.2/9.5/1.9 (904)
SB ($36.40) 22.1/7.4/1.9 (593)
BB ($17.25) 62.5/12.5/2.0 (8)

Pre-flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is MP1
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BTN calls $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.75, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.25, BTN calls $3.25, BB folds

Turn: ($11.25, 2 players)
Hero ($45.25)?

[mixchange]

he certainly has a wider range on the button, but its a pretty straightforward b/f spot vs. a tighty imo

[Muzzard]

he certainly has a wider range on the button, but its a pretty straightforward b/f spot vs. a tighty imo

he's between 5-6% in each position, he only has 12% pfr on the button too fwiw. I think he raises his sets like 90% time here and wouold not float 22.

[badgers]

this is AK a lot and I doubt he's floating/bluffing this turn ever so we can just c/f and bet turn if he checks behind.

or c/r anyone? it's pretty hard for him to have sets or flushes given reads, and he's prbs bet/folding AK, even if he calls we have equity.. Maybe? I am spewy :P

[ATOTHEC101]

I'm never check folding this hand on the turn considering we have the q of clubs, just bet $7.5 and fold to a raise, if the rivers a club or a q bet again, if it blanks I'd make a semi value/blocking bet for $12.5 into $25.75.

[badgers]

what are we getting value from by betting?

[Muzzard]

I bet and he folded, but after the hand I was thinking he's just folding everything coz he can't have much. How about c/c or c/r? Or even just vbet river when he checks turn.

[ATOTHEC101]

what are we getting value from by betting?

Doesnt this dude ever have aj or a10 even if it's suited?

[Muzzard]

what are we getting value from by betting?

Doesnt this dude ever have aj or a10 even if it's suited?

Not vs me. Imma nit sir.

[badgers]

even if he does he's most likely folding

[Muzzard]

even if he does he's most likely folding

This is also true

[poker3player333]

I was going to reply but was too distracted by Muzzard's pic. Is that a pic of u?

[Muzzard]

I was going to reply but was too distracted by Muzzard's pic. Is that a pic of u?

yes, I'm a sexy little blonde piece

[sil693]

I was going to reply but was too distracted by Muzzard's pic. Is that a pic of u?

yes, I'm a sexy little blonde piece

[ ] sexy little blonde piece.

[poker3player333]

I was going to reply but was too distracted by Muzzard's pic. Is that a pic of u?

yes, I'm a sexy little blonde piece

I don't believe u..

[derekvsmith]

i agree i dont think a set could check that i mean at most ur dealing with maybe kk or a q aj i think a bet is definitely in order

[surviva316]

if you check to him, and he bets the turn, then he has the better hand and you'd only be calling with a draw; hence i don't get check-calling. you can c/r but that's a lot of chips to commit to what you pretty much know is a semi-bluff (maybe it's just me but i really don't see a tight player calling the flop bet from the preflop raiser then betting the turn with anything less than AK).
I think betting like you did likely folds anything but a flush or a set (which you said he didn't have), and you have outs against the set. keeping it simple and betting here is a better option here than any of the fancy options that have been suggested