Hand 1
Parasurama:Tbh, I would be rather stumped if villain was to double barrel this turn. I would likely only be doing this for value with 22,44,TT,JJ,TJ. So I suppose that if I choose to bluff raise the turn that with this hand, and this particular turn card this is one of the better spots to do it, as I now likely have 7-10 outs against villain.
Badgers: I don't think floating is a bad idea against this villain. This particular hand fits perfectly into the range that I want to play back against villain with given that I have good equity against against his range as you stated. However, my only concern was whether I wanted to be floating or bluff raising. And the reason I question this is both in part to conversations with some 100nl/200nl regs, and observations/thoughts that I have come across.
I personally wouldn't be raising this flop very often, if at all. I'm calling all my sets, JJ, QQ, mid pairs, Tx, etc. Therefore, if I were to bluff raise I feel I would be making my range rather transparent and nearly always a bluff in this spot. However, as you said raising this flop WILL put him into a shitty spot without history, as he is betting such a wide range, and he won't be continuing with much.
Basically, the question revolves around should I play my particular hand in a manner that will maximize it's EV, or play that hand in such a manner that I balance my range, and therefore maximize my ranges EV? I don't doubt bluff raising the flop will be profitable (even though he should call light for reasons stated above). But it polarizes my range, and I think that's bad?
Miffed: You say your unhappy calling preflop, does that mean you are wanting to 3b villain in this spot? If so, while I don't hate 3betting as we are likely to take the pot down preflop often, I feel AQs has alot of value calling IP against most villains, and especially agains this villain given his postflop tendancies, which will leave me with alot of opportunities to take the pot away postflop (floating, bluff raising, etc.).
Hand 2
Now I've been thinking that we should bet a more polarized range here and check through our hands that have medium-strength showdown value.
This is mainly the reason I am betting here. I feel that I am going to be betting this flop so often when checked to {88, 33, KQ, AK, KJ, air, flush draw} that if I am not betting hands like TT, JJ, etc that I am really unbalancing my range for checking through the flop and getting to the turn and river. And the range that I check through will be relatively weak, and will allow villain to play well against us if he applies significant aggression on the turn and river, as I don't think we can call both streets. The only way I see to combat unbalancing our ranges would be to either (A) bet our marginal hands on the flop or (B) check behind some of our nut hands. Not sure which, if either, is the way to go.
What's our play with a hand with a little less SD value here? 77? 98? 87? We should be more likely to bet those hands yes, as we are more likely to lose at SD?