trips in deep pot

[freechus9]

villain is your run of the mill tag with the usual set of plays. i think i am beat here but can i ever fold? hes running 20/18/3.2

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($167.95)
BB ($91.50)
UTG ($31.05)
Hero ($128.95)
Button ($91.70)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, Q.
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2.

Flop: ($9) A, 6, A (3 players)
SB bets $5, BB folds, Hero raises to $20, SB calls $15.

Turn: ($49) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB calls $30.

River: ($109) 3 (2 players)
SB bets $114.95 (All-In)

[will641]

that is such a bizarre line for him to take. i probably talk myself into a call and hate life because of it. i dont think hes ever bluffing, and i think his value range is likely better than your hand since he is seemingly a thinking player. its probably a fold.

[Marshall28]

i dont think i could fold here. there's no way he has a flush, he would have had to call the flop w/ 6xcc ??? I don't think so.

AJ/A3/A6/66 obviously the only hands you can be concerned about, and the way he played it, he's repping exactly A3. I just don't give someone that much credit, plus this hand is at the very very top of my double barreling range on this board, so I'd call and wouldn't feel particularly unhappy about it.

[Marshall28]

also, fwiw, i woulda bet way bigger on the turn, if he's calling 30, he's calling 40-45, so might as well make your value bets larger in this spot. If you were bluffing I like the 30. This is only because of stack sizes though, plus it makes the river an easier decision, or an easier shove on your part since it's no longer an overbet.

[Genitruc]

god such a funny hand

i think i hate life and fold

[ATOTHEC101]

god such a funny hand

i think i hate life and fold

This

[Fnord]

Am I too optimistic?

Board: Ac 6d As Jc 3c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.917% 41.67% 06.25% 10 1.50 { AdQh }
Hand 1: 52.083% 45.83% 06.25% 11 1.50 { JJ, 66, AQs-A2s, AQo-ATo }

[bair]

this is a pretty easy fold. you obviously have an ace. fnord your Ax range is fathoms too wide. more like AQ, AJ, A3, and he obviously cant have a flush w/ the ace. you beat absolutely nothing except bluffs. he definitely has 66 or AJ and is hoping to god you think he is bluffing the flush.

[Fnord]

I see too much weird ass shit at showdown because I don't fold these spots to think his range is that tight.

Given how aggro things can get I think Freechus9's range is wider than Ax/66/JJ. He's bruffing here some % of the time.

[will641]

if he were the bb this would be a much tougher spot as he is calling with so many more AXs combos, but as his he doesnt know bb is going to come along, so i doubt he shows up with Ax often at all, and if he does hes not going to essentially turn it into a bluff.

[Fnord]

20/18 is a pretty tight split. What does his SB flat range look like?

[Alexos]

id fold w/out too much thought

[freechus9]

this is a pretty easy fold. you obviously have an ace. fnord your Ax range is fathoms too wide. more like AQ, AJ, A3, and he obviously cant have a flush w/ the ace. you beat absolutely nothing except bluffs. he definitely has 66 or AJ and is hoping to god you think he is bluffing the flush.

agree 100%

fnord he folds to a steal from the sb 85%.

[dalecooper]

I have a sinking feeling here. I think I'd fold it. It's a tough spot, but I just can't see him having worse than a boat. Your hand is almost face-up.

[griffey24]

I'd insta fold this. Well maybe not insta, but yah I'd fold.

Our hand can't possibly look more like an A here, so unless he's wild and would try to somehow get us to fold an A, I think this is a fold.

I mean, he bet/calls a big raise on a super dry flop, so he clearly has at least an A here. I don't see why a worse A would turn itself into a bluff here.

[bigspenda73]

Why would anyone ever think they could make you fold trips here

[zook]

id fold w/out too much thought

This guy wins a lot of money.

Against a fish I snap tho.

[pankfish]

Why did you raise the flop if you don't want to play for stacks? I really don't see why you raise this flop for anyway. I guess to get worse aces to shove?

There is no way you are ahead on the river, nobody is trying to bluff you off of trips.

[nutsinho]

Why did you raise the flop if you don't want to play for stacks? I really don't see why you raise this flop for anyway. I guess to get worse aces to shove?

There is no way you are ahead on the river, nobody is trying to bluff you off of trips.

uhh we did want to play for stacks. but we dont want to do it by calling some weird ass donk jam when the backdoor flush completes.

[ATOTHEC101]

Why did you raise the flop if you don't want to play for stacks? I really don't see why you raise this flop for anyway. I guess to get worse aces to shove?

There is no way you are ahead on the river, nobody is trying to bluff you off of trips.

He raises the flop as he indeed wants to play for stacks at this point as he has the best hand nearly everytime, and villain isnt folding any ax hands and hero wants to get max value from those hands that he currently beats. He bets the turn for the same reason (though id bet a little larger). This earlier aggression sets up for a value shove/bet on the river when checked to but once villain shows extreme strength shoving oop we can safely assume we are beat and fold.

[pankfish]

I doubt sb is donking the flop with an ace. How many aces does he call with from the small blind? AT-AQ? I don't think raising flop is all that great because we just owned the flop and it's going to be hard for most of his range to continue vs pressure. On the turn he probably folds 88-TT, so the only hand left that we beat is AT so I don't see why that is a fist pump bet either.

There is no way he is shoving AT on the river though, so now you know your beat.

Don't take offense if this post is retarded.

[Deanglow]

this hand is waaaay more interesting if there is no flush on board

[bigspenda73]

so you think he bet/calls the flop with like 6c7c Dean?

[will641]

so you think he bet/calls the flop with like 6c7c Dean?

i would be amazed if he b/c 67s oop on that flop.

[dsaxton]

I think the backdoor flush is irrelevant since the Ac is on board, and it's unlikely he continues without having at least an ace after the flop raise.

This is probably a trivial fold since his hand is fairly well-defined by the river, and he isn't likely to effectively turn the weaker hands (which all have solid showdown value) in his range into bluffs when you're showing this much strength.

[will641]

this hand is actually kind of funny cause its the type of hand where i think oh well he could possibly have like Ax, so i should call. when in reality i lose like every time.

[bigspenda73]

so you think he bet/calls the flop with like 6c7c Dean?

i would be amazed if he b/c 67s oop on that flop.

So I guess what Dean was getting at is that he doesn't feel villain will do this w/o a boat because of the presence of the 3flush.