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76s. Turn Question

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  1. #1
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Sep 2005
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    Default 76s. Turn Question

    10 players Micro Stakes

    My image has been ridiculously tight, as I haven't been dealt a hand for nearly 2 hours.

    I was dealt AKs 7 hands earlier. I raise from UTG aaaaand everyone folds.

    Hero is Dealt 6d 7d

    UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, 3 folds, CO calls, Hero Raises. sb folds, BB calls.

    10 bets in the pot

    flop
    4d 2s Ad

    BB Bets, UTG folds, 2 calls, Hero raises,BB re raises, 2 calls, hero caps 3 calls.

    15 Big Bets in the pot.

    Turn 5c
    BB Bets, UTG raises, and is all in, UTG +1 calls, Hero?

    River brings 5d....
    Hero's line?
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  2. #2
    Call the turn. If you assume your 15 outs are all clean, you will win this hand 32.6% of the time. But you only have 2 opponents left with money. You must also consider that someone will occasionally have a better flush draw and the 2d and 5d pair the board in a hand where someone could already have a set.

    Raising the river would be Spew against any semi-decent opponents.

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