I find it
tricky in 6max because people are willing to
showdown, and bet, with weaker hands. Let's say I have AQ in
MP,
raise 4x, and am called by competent 25/15 (which are the same as my
stats) CO.
Flop comes AK4. I bet, he calls.
Turn is 7, I bet, he calls.
Stopping for a sec, what does he likely have, and what does he think I have? I am fairly obviously
repping an ace; he knows I'll
raise AT+ in this
position.
Because it's short-
handed, we can keep AK in the equation but it's not his most likely holding. Another ace is likely; a king might
call a
flop bet, and KQ/KJ/Kxs suit within his
range, but I'
m not sure he'd
call the
turn - he might, because I
fire multiple barrels on occasion.
River is a 2. I think I am likely
ahead of his
range; I am
behind AA/
KK/AK but I think they're all unlikely; I am
behind 44 and the considerably less likely 77 or 22; and that's it. I'
m ahead of KT-KQ, AT-AJ, and any other
PP.
So I reckon I am
ahead of about 60% of his
range. However, I only have
TPGK myself. This is exactly the
spot when I
don't know what to do, and where I guess checking might be the way forward. Can people comment on this scenario?