I'm around. I tend to read more than I write because when I get started typing I have trouble stopping. I did send you a PM almost a month ago, but haven't had any reply. And I was unavailable all of...
Type: Posts; User: Erpel
I'm around. I tend to read more than I write because when I get started typing I have trouble stopping. I did send you a PM almost a month ago, but haven't had any reply. And I was unavailable all of...
Well, if kmind is correct and the bet is for value and "He will likely play his range the same way vs both" clearly the larger bet has the larger EV. It's for value. We're (presumably) ahead.
1) At 2NL any plan that involves bluffing your opponent off his hand is a bad one. It's good to be in the habit of asking yourself if they fold often and observe if they do, but at 2NL bluffing...
Thanks Spoon. Point well taken.
Note how Spoon's observation partially invalidates some of my comments.
What you need to do is plan your hands.
First, 3x vs 4x. Nothing wrong with 3x. What you need to do (for deception - not a big issue at 2NL but the principle holds) is to be consistent in your...
Couple things.
His raise is really really small. It's not a min-raise, but it's close. Put yourself in his shoes for a second. When he makes a small raise is that because he wants you to call or...
Even if you include only pairs and 8x, 4x in his calling range that means he folds a vast majority of his range and it may be correct to bet the flop with air simply to pick up the dead money. If...
And we're done! It was fast and surviva beat me fair and square.
Surviva and I are aiming to play our match today.
I know many people describe him as passive, but let's not forget that he's passive on any street other than the river.
I think the river stats are interesting.
<CBATpoker> 14/6 5.3 3b...
Erpel vs minSim -> Erpel proceeds
Not a fully clear cut hand, especially because of MP being in the hand on the flop. Also with a paired board full houses and quads are possible, so you don't know if you have to discount the flush...
What you do is you do the type of analysis I showed many many many times for different hands and situations and change your assumptions around and you get a better feel for it. You may develop some...
Erpel vs d0zer -> Erpel proceeds
I run so hot - straight and straight to knock him out.
Called or folded. So 56 times he was either folding before anyone had raised the blinds, or was facing a 3bet or 4bet when it came around to him.
With stats of 8/6 in that means he's raised 5 hands and called preflop one or two times more than that. Have you seen him showdown any hands? Were they raised or just flat called?
Does he 3bet a...
I have lots of study material I'm trying to get through now, but if there's lively discussion on NLHE T&P I'm likely to also chime in.
No, it's not.
As I read in a thread around here recently, at the micros assume everyone is passive until they prove otherwise.
The only reason this is not an automatic fold when the club lands...
Royal Flush
Just using this hand as an exercise for myself.
Hmm, ace-rag is not found in many 13% ranges. Even if we rule out broadways and say he only raises pairs 77+, including ace-rag already gets us up...
I think the best/most sensible way to deal with the 3 matches is to play two first. Then if the same person wins both, stop. If you win one each, play a decider.
This gives you the option of...
Thanks for comments. Right, the turn bet is puny. Need to fix that. Was not a particularly fishy table and I was due to break 5 minutes after anyway.
And yeah, while it's hard for him to have a...
This reminds rather heavily of a section in Theory of Poker where Sklansky explains that we should randomise our Hero Q betting and Villain K calling with the exact percentage one that is based on...
River aggression is not too passive actually - now that you mention it. Bet river (which I think is a first in action so either first to act or after checks) is 2/7 (29%). River aggression frequency...
Note for the river range I forgot listing AT, which I think is entirely likely. J9 should also probably be included. For Q9 and J9 (and to a lesser extent QT) you could argue that maybe only the...