Hand 1 I would never shove river, looks like a very tight call actually.
What does he think he is getting value out of on the river that you check called the flop and the turn with OOP & didn't...
Type: Posts; User: noble007
Hand 1 I would never shove river, looks like a very tight call actually.
What does he think he is getting value out of on the river that you check called the flop and the turn with OOP & didn't...
My 2 cents, If he didn't mass multi-table it would be a great hand.
Flop looks good, shoving with a non-nut straight draw where some of your outs are tainted (clubs) is not a great option but...
All seems good except number 1 for the reasons you indicated
You rarely have a good hand when you get to the river in that spot and you would rarely CR because you wouldn't be expecting villain to...
I think a bet of $120 would be more credible.
He's checked 3rd flush turn and 4th flush river doesn't look like has much as at all so I think you'd be more likely to bet smaller with A/Qh to try...
I would probably check call flop and turn and evaluate river.
If I CR flop I would probably bet about 18 on turn, don't know if that's good advice though.
Is the Hand history messed up, how can you be UTG and BB bets etc. unless you limped?
As for the bluff, before reading the thread I was pretty sure I was going to write betting the river IP when...
Hand 1 I think is fine
Hand 2 I probably check flop and bet turn if it gets checked through - that may be bad.
Hand 3 I bet flop and play for stacks - he could have AA/99 (9 combos) but he will...
Just insta check fold obv. MP can only have a set here.
His line does blow my mind though, In reality I shove turn though I know that must be super-bad.
:( Till the end of the year at least going for 300K milestone bonus which is 3K bonus + 4-5K in regular bonuses getting there.
Will re-evaluate after that, but I needed the guaranteed $$.
The main advice I give to myself though these days, which could be helpful to other people is this.
'TRUST YOURSELF'
I spent so much of the last couple of years trying...
My general advice is to be more aggressive from the BB against weaker ranges.
1. Bet out more in limped pots
(You can do a filter for when you are in the BB and stabbed at the pot on the flop...
I don't know what your username is on Stars, but yeah if you play 100NL feel free to hate & type abuse in chat etc. I know short-stacking isn't cool.
GL.
Really?
We need 32% Equity to make the call.
Even if we assume that he has every made hand that beats us in his range -every set, every two pair, every overpair, every flopped straight and that...
Good advice Bjsaust.
My advice is that, that one area you work on be your BIG BLIND play.
I just had a look at my long term full stack stats and I was running at -24bb/100 (big blinds)/...
0 way you can fold against shortie now that you've bet.
I also think betting is std. here vs. 2 players. (If you check sometimes vs. 1 opponent you're just giving a free card to what is probably 6...
Your W$SD% is too high.
Therefore you are not VB the best hand often enough.
(@ Griffey I don't think he is making alot of bad river folds because his WTSD% is pretty high.)
Your W$WSF is way...
What does it take?
Blood, Sweat and Tears climbing a mountain that gets higher everday. You may even find that you gave all of yourself to the mountain but it still rose faster than you could climb...
Check fold.
He'll check behind worse (99/TT), VB better (Sets/Trips/A8) and he has almost 0 draws left in his range at this point.
Shoving is close probably -ev in my mind the few 99/TT that's...
Welcome to the Jungle!
http://i225.photobucket.com/albums/dd234/Scoobydo007/slash-from-guns-n-roses.jpg
Your WTSD% seems to be the main potential leak in those stats.
Go to 'holdem manager articles' click on article 1.
Obviously we shouldn't be striving for certain numbers but just trying to play...
You might find some simple scenarios on when to fire that 2nd barrel here, (all the input is from good aggressive players)
http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/forum/2nd-3rd-barrel-spots-t88688.html
If your WTSD% is really around 28% despite you VB thinly then it could mean that you are calling down a bit too lightly?
1. Regarding your thin river value bets.
A)Create a filter in HM where you select some marginal made hands on the river (E.g. low pair/bottom pair - TPWK) Select 'bet' as your river action. Go to...
Switched to being a ratholing SS at about 26k hands... Will continue
http://i225.photobucket.com/albums/dd234/Scoobydo007/SEPT.jpg
It's hard to lose money with AJ/KQ out of the blinds vs. a guy with these stats.
1. You could 3B shove AJ & show a profit here pre-flop. (not that u would)
2. If he CBs alot you can just play...