FLUSH DRAW!

Dude is 18/13/6. 3bet EP 1%, raise cbet 13% an won 1/3 times. Flats open in EP 4%. I raise UTG 14%, cbet 72% and fold2raise 50%. WHAT'S THE PLAN?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($634.65)
BB ($304)
Hero (UTG) ($400)
UTG+1 ($422)
MP1 ($1167.50)
MP2 ($584.05)
CO ($451.90)
Button ($414.60)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
Hero bets $10, UTG+1 calls $10, 6 folds

Flop: ($26) 9, 6, Q (2 players)
Hero bets $16, UTG+1 raises to $52, Hero calls $36

Turn: ($130) J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $92, Hero

focus less on numbers and more on history and this won't be a thread.

Originally Posted by Micro2Macro

focus less on numbers and more on history and this won't be a thread.

There is nothing wrong with creating a thread out of what you think is trivial.

I prefer to bet the turn here but am sure as hell calling if checking turn.

The only merit in shoving the turn is if you believe he has some type of pair-turned-into-bluff that is bet folding the turn on a draw heavy board for almost one third of the remaining chips; needless to say this seems unlikely. I'd call and c/c on rivers that you hit.

cry call (prob slightly -ev), because we can only c/c T or club rivers.

Originally Posted by Alexos

cry call (prob slightly -ev), because we can only c/c T or club rivers.

this

I'd shove a T river though

Originally Posted by Alexos

cry call (prob slightly -ev), because we can only c/c T or club rivers.

+1

Originally Posted by Renton

I'd call and c/c on rivers that you hit.

Am I missing something here? c/c on rivers we hit? Most rivers we hit give us the nuts, so wtf c/c?

Originally Posted by Alexos

cry call (prob slightly -ev), because we can only c/c T or club rivers.

Alexos, could you explain your thought process here? Or anybody really? Why would we want to make a call that we think is -ev even if it's just slightly?

Isn't our goal to make +ev plays and eliminate the -ev ones? Honestly I'm sure I call here every time, but understanding why better players are calling in this spot would be great.

Wow, I just noticed the 2.5x raise from utg. Is this standard at these stakes?

yes, 3xing ssnl- is mostly due to rake

call

Instead of calling the flop raise, wouldn't it have been better to just shove?