Quote Originally Posted by oskar View Post
I continue to run like death.
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I've lost about $150 to table ninja... I'm uninstalling it now. It disables itself if you type in a browser, in IRC, while taking notes, but not in the chatbox. I keep calling huge overbets or raising in super obvious fold spots because I type 'orly' or something like that.
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I really believe that myself as well as a lot of people who are considered good regs were just running extremely good over a very long period of time... even if it just means having your loosing hands spread out so you don't go on a roller coaster ride where you have 15 consecutive loosing days that crush your spirit. Then it all evens out and their graphs become a straight line... you keep seeing that - lifetime graphs that go up and then straight forever. On the other hand there must a huge amount of players who had the potential to become winning players but just ran bad from the start and gave up on poker.
Hey, Oskar, I'm back from the dead and checking on some ol' pals to see where folks are at these days. First, I agree with nearly every word of the post I quoted from above. Understanding poker variance is a big deal with me - I think about it a lot. I don't think most folks do, but most of us who spend a million hands (or more) fiddling with poker learn some real lessons about variance, like the ones you mention.

Second, I'm glad to hear your perspective on Table Ninja, since I withdrew a ton of $$ and don't have much role online currently, yet was considering an investment in it.

Third, I hope things can turn around for you soon. I also hope that the breakeven is just at the tables and that your rakeback is still generating some cash for you.

Wishing you the best of learning and luck with pokerz....