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Problem here is that you're counting pre- flop action in the EV for post- flop action, which isn't correct. For instance, in the "All In!" situation, you win 10bb every time, not 5.
That was just to make the math easier....
Thats the actuall changes to your bankroll.
Betting low enough to give your opponent +EV calls will cost you more than you win...
Another way to look at it is that when you make the 1bb bets on the second example, your really betting 11bb for a chance to win 1bb on the flop...
and then 13bb for a chance to win 1bb on the turn.
and then 15bb for a chance to win 1bb on the river.
If you bet so little that it's +EV for your opponent to call, then it's -EV for you... Poker is a zero sum game...
Basically your risking your entire pot on a 65%/35% bet to win 1bb... thats -EV ... betting 1bb is -EV... it costs you money...
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