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QQ overpair babydeep

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    8,697
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up

    Default QQ overpair babydeep

    villain is 20-15-4 with 50% fold to cbet over 250 hands. His big pots so far have not involved showdowns. He barrels happily
    his range is broad here preflop ip and multiway and it's hard to see that flop narrows i too much

    what's my turn plan?

    $0.10/$0.25 Ante $0.05 No Limit Holdem
    9 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    Hero ($53.50)
    UTG+1 ($9.64)
    MP1 ($79.84)
    MP2 ($64.17)
    MP3 ($60.36)
    CO ($77.20)
    BTN ($28.27)
    SB ($63.51)
    BB ($50.80)

    Pre-Flop: ($0.80, 9 players) Hero is UTG
    Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, CO calls $1, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75

    Flop: ($4.55, 4 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, 1 fold, CO calls $3.50, BB folds

    Turn: ($11.55, 2 players)
  2. #2
    b/f

    +

    pray for river J (lol at full nit)
  3. #3
    BooG690's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Posts
    5,090
    Location
    I am Queens Blvd.
    Villain raises {TT-99,T9s} on the flop I think. There are two combinations of QJs and three combinations of 88 that beat you here. Also, 76s may have called with a gutshot, especially 7h6h. However, most of villain's range here is still flush draws or a top-pair kind of hand. We have >50% equity here and villain may call a $9ish bet with his flush draw. Does villain raise a lot on the turn/postflop? I'm looking to value bet here and check/call a safe river.
    That's how winners play; we convince the other guy he's making all the right moves.

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