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 Originally Posted by ripjohngotti
7 1/2 to 1 odds it aint gonna hit, 88%, ill throw mine away thanks
That's why the 1/10th stack rule. You lose 10% or less the 88% of the time you miss. You make 100% or more the 12% of the time you hit.
Long term (10k hands with average stack of 1000):
lose 100 * .88 * 10k = 88,000
win 1000 * .12 * 10k = 120,000
Calling the preflop bet of 1/10th your stack nets you over 30,000 chips. Even better results if the raise is less than 1/10th your stack.
It's easy to get rid of the hand if the flop misses you. Sometimes it'll miss your opponent too, giving you the better hand even in the 88%. Here your hit % can rise to 20% if you get to see the river, making this even more profitable.
- Jeffrey
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