Select Page
Poker Forum
Over 1,292,000 Posts!
Poker ForumBeginners Circle

Low Flush - River Advice Pls

Results 1 to 11 of 11

Hybrid View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #1
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    10,456
    Location
    St Louis, MO
    Quote Originally Posted by Imthenewfish View Post
    How often does he have to spaz or play a set retardly here [...] ?
    Final decision:
    amount to call: $9.51 - $2.10 = $7.41
    pot: $2.45 + $2.10 + 9.51 = $14.06

    (7.41)/(7.41 + 14.06) = 34.5%

    You must be right more than ~1/3 of the time to make the call +EV.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey View Post
    Final decision:
    amount to call: $9.51 - $2.10 = $7.41
    pot: $2.45 + $2.10 + 9.51 = $14.06

    (7.41)/(7.41 + 14.06) = 34.5%

    You must be right more than ~1/3 of the time to make the call +EV.
    yeah i meant the frequency that he has to take that line with like 9's, j's, q's
  3. #3
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    10,456
    Location
    St Louis, MO
    Quote Originally Posted by Imthenewfish View Post
    yeah i meant the frequency that he has to take that line with like 9's, j's, q's
    It's the same question. That equation shows how often you have to win to break even in ANY gambling situation. It's far more broad-reaching than just being insanely useful in poker.

    The frequency that you need to be right (holding the winning hand) is the same as the Villain "spazzing out" (betting with the worst hand.)
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey View Post
    It's the same question. That equation shows how often you have to win to break even in ANY gambling situation. It's far more broad-reaching than just being insanely useful in poker.

    The frequency that you need to be right (holding the winning hand) is the same as the Villain "spazzing out" (betting with the worst hand.)
    i wasn't asking about the frequency that we need to be right i was just pointing out how often he has to take that line with his 9 combos of sets given that he only has 1 combo that beats us, and that's not 34%

    edit: if we wanted to find the actual number we have to estimate how much to discount the AKs because of his flop check
    Last edited by Imthenewfish; 05-17-2012 at 06:17 PM.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •