KK hands @ 10nl

Originally Posted by !Luck

Tasha,

Yes we can use combos.

I would mitigate this. In this case, you can easily use combos because the equity of his winning combos on this flop is about 90% and the equity of your winning combos is also about 90%. So just counting winning and loosing combos does it to estimate whether you equity is > 50%.

This is not always the case though. To take a simple example for Tasha, let's imagine opp could have only one of three hands: 5c5s, which is a 89% favorite, or 8h7h (45% favorite) or 9h8h (37% favorite). So even though you beat 2 of his 3 possible combos, you are not a favorite: (0.89+0.45+0.37)/3=0.57=57% equity for opp's range.

edit (and hijack?): this example just made me think of something. Opp is indeed a favorite in an all in situation when the hand goes to showdown, but with this range, he is not a favorite to win on the next card. So should you bet to make him pay for his draws, and if he just calls and you think his range is still the same, bet again on a turn that does not complete any of his draws? Or does the rule "if your showdown equity is less than 50%, don't bet" still apply? Spoon, over, to you...