Well i'v been reading a lot of spoonitnows threads lately and am going to try out some new things and do alot more analysis after sessions etc. If their is anyone on here that has a flare for maths let me know cos there's some stuff i need help with.

so here's the hand.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (5 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($5.82)
UTG ($2.48)
MP ($5.12)
Button ($5.86)
SB ($5.06)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, J
2 folds, Button bets $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) 6, A, 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.15, 1 fold

Total pot: $0.32 | Rake: $0.01

Villain was 36/33 over 35 hands small sample i know.

so to get a rough range i stoved 33% hands and i got

55+,A2s+,K4s+,Q6s+,J7s+,T8s+,98s,A5o+,K8o+,Q9o+,J9 o+,T9o

adding up the combos then adjusting for the J7 blockers from my hand to some of the combos i got 463 hands preflop.

I assumed he would only continue with TP sets and strong second pairs JJ-KK and i got 151 combos

I bet 3bb into 6bb so 3/(3+6)=0.3333 so i need villain to fold 33% of his range to make this +ev. 151/463=0.3261 villain is only folding 32% so it is slightly -EV

But if i had only bet 2bb 2/(2+6)=0.25 i would only need villain to fold 25% of the time and he is folding 151/463=0.3261 32% so it would be a +ev bluff in a vaccum.