Quote Originally Posted by magneticskull
Ano, [sorry bout the tone you are about to be blessed with, but...]

In what physical model of the universe do "12 cards out there" affect the chances of any one of them being the King of Clubs?
Not sure what you consider "quite high" either. 2.2%? 5%???
Personally, I fold Kx suited unless x=AQJT or I'm BB.
And anyone holding that hand in clubs and NOT Betting should have been flushed at the hospital.
Seriously. (makes me cranky even contemplating it... as you can see)
Erm. The model in which the more cards that are in play the higher the chance that one of them is the card in question (in this case the Q of clubs; because the river shows that no one had the K). (You do realise that if you try a million-to-one-shot often enough, it'll happen, right? I mean, that's made it's way into your model of the universe?)

The chance that someone is holding the a card that improves the the flush is 75%. That's what I call "quite high".

So you don't believe anyone has the Q. Fine. Great. lovely. Are you absolutely sure that no one has the 7 or the T? That's what makes this bet risky.
But it's certainly what makes lambasting these players for folding a "split pot" a bit off.