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Re: Bet sizes, bluffs and making my game profitable
 Originally Posted by Fnord
If you semi- bluff with a pot sized bet and get raised back for the minimum you need at least a 33% chance to make your hand for that call to be profitable. Horrible pot odds, even implied.
I breifly skimmed over this post because I'm about to eat, but I'll come back to it later. This ^^^^ however is very incorrect.
If you bet the pot size, then someone else needs a 33% chance to win the hand to be break even. This of course does not factor in other betting rounds (turn is usually most applicable) or implied odds.
However, if you bet the pot, and get raised the minimum, this is not true.
Pot size: 10
Hero bets 10 (pot size 20)
Villain min-raises to 20 (pot size 40)
Hero must call 10 into a 40 pot. 4:1 on the money, not 2:1. You now must win this hand 1 in 5 times. (This is a good lesson to you habitual min-raisers out there, you know who you are.)
Also.. I agree with a lot of the points made in this post. There are, perhaps, a few things I disagree with but I'll get back to those later after rereading the post more carefully.
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