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[5NL] Good time to bluff?

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  1. #7
    daviddem's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cobra_1878 View Post
    I forgot to add that the raise was purely as a steal pre, not thinking I have a legit hand.

    If this isn't a time to steal, when is? He is a super nit and the board comes 239 which is absolutely nowhere near his nitty range. The fact he leads out so small, twice, makes him look weak. I just don't understand why this isn't a good spot to bluff.

    @MMM - I have no idea how to do all the maths side of poker. Not all of us have the ability to be able to do that. The second half of your post doesn't even make sense to me.
    You HAVE to have a basic understanding of ranges, math, odds and EV. Spoonitnow and others here have made some awesome posts about that and especially Spoon has made them as easy to understand as it gets. Read and understand these, it will be time well spent. If you have difficulties, ask away. Then if you want to go further read Sklansky's no limit book.

    Must read posts:
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ad-177296.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ge-177508.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ad-180192.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ll-173396.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ws-173190.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...tc-161721.html
    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...rs-165910.html

    Once you have read and understood the first three posts (and the first two do not have any math in them, they only call on you being logic), you will be able to come back here and:
    1) put your opponent on a range after he has checked the river, taking into account his actions on the previous streets
    2) figure which part of this range would call your river bet and which part would fold
    3) based on the above, calculate the EV of your bluff
    Last edited by daviddem; 12-26-2012 at 04:49 AM.
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