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 Originally Posted by supa
No. I have no information to base that assumption on. But that's not my point. His overpairs are what I' m talking about. What overpairs?
3bet of 3% over a tiny sample doesn't mean that he 3bets that often.
A 3bet of 3% according to icm is AK JJ+. Over such a small sample 3% doesn't mean anything. He's just as likely to have 3bet with AT against a BTN opening a larger part of his range.
To call on the button to an UTG raise he has lots of pairs in his range. I wouldn't even be surprised if he raised something like 88 and would give up next time, although not very likely.
He's also so tight that he may slowplay a very big hand against an UTG raise expecting the blinds to not come along and then slow play. Which would also tie into him raising trying to get people to fold.
Basically against his raising range otf against a whale we are ahead imo. Can't say I have enough knowledge to say we should raise or call without doing some real work.
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