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FTR Werewolf: Gold Rush (Carbon Poker Freeroll)

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  1. #226
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    The guy I bolded mentioning/dismissing me is pretty relevant dontcha think
    No, I don't think it's relevant

    This is part of why I'm not convinced you're a wolf. I think you're a decent shot at being a wolf, but all this really could just be your quirks or are perhaps inexperience. When I first played I thought my Day 1 reads were far better than I do today. I think everybody's kinda like that
  2. #227
    Post 163.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  3. #228
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    rescind wufwugy
  4. #229
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    I don't think you are to that great a degree of confidence. I'm explaining my thought process at the time
    Post 163 (sorry for double post)
    Metal.....Gear!?
  5. #230
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Where oh where is villager Wufwugy? Villager Wufwugy would have explained in amazetaints detail why I was a wolf by now instead of slinging out this weak shit.
    No, I wouldn't have actually
  6. #231
    Compare the posts where Keith and Bikes talk about my vig strat. Keith is approaching it from a villager mindset, as in "how does this affect the village." Keith actually does this in his opening post in Night 0 where he is talking about villager strat.

    I've already said that Keith is a great wolf so giving him villager cred when he could do this as a wolf may be dangerous. But the best way for me to read people is to get them to respond to me.

    I bolded Bikes early because I got a funny vibe off him in Night 0. I can't even explain it and it wasn't even that much, like maybe pushing him from 20% wolf to 25% wolf. But I wanted to bold him to see what would happen.

    Bikes has zero posts in this thread about relevant game information, just kind of "oh hai guise lala la where's pelion?" This isn't totally out of character as he doesn't take early days seriously. But then he does get serious to talk about the vig strat and his post is just all sorts of fail.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  7. #232
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    No, I don't think it's relevant

    This is part of why I'm not convinced you're a wolf. I think you're a decent shot at being a wolf, but all this really could just be your quirks or are perhaps inexperience. When I first played I thought my Day 1 reads were far better than I do today. I think everybody's kinda like that
    This is a fair point. I suspect I'll be wrong on quite a few things. It's the nature of being a villager.

    How about you use your experience to find us some wolves?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  8. #233
    So far Baudib and wuf are wolves. The interaction seems kinda weak and staged.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  9. #234
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Wolves are here: Wuf, Bikes, GrayFoxxxx, Rong, Gator, the no-shows Creds and SweetClaireRose
    Here's what Baud may be doing: He thinks he's running things. He set up a vig post with the idea that if anybody gets excited about it in what he deems the wrong way, it means they're reacting because they're afraid of losing a no-content wolf to a shot. His behavior all game so far has been consistent with this, as he has said things about how he's pissing the wolves off and stuff. I had this exact same sort of optimism in all my early games. It's real easy to think that the wolves are reacting to your stuff, but more often than not they're just sitting back, watching people play pin the tail on the donkey. Most superficially wolfy behavior comes from villagers in the form of coincidences and stuff

    I think this wolf list is internally consistent, in ways that it would be tough for a wolf to do.

    rescind baud lynch bigred

    Ong is right about bugrud. He's been a thorn in my side due to this style several times. It's the same with lolzzz, but apparently he's going to get replaced or modkilled or something
  10. #235
    I guess wuf is just ignoring me then. Brb in a few hours to see what's gone down in Gold Town.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  11. #236
    rong's Avatar
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    Not sure I even want to go down the road of this discussion but do we consider the three who haven't posted in our d1 lynch strategy? Seems unlikely we'll find 3 replacements and 3 modkills if all villagers would be pretty horific. But worse, if there's say only one replacement yet one of those 3 is a wolf I'm guessing the wolf would get replaced.

    MOD - ANY UPDATE WRT THIS?


    I'm the king of bongo, baby I'm the king of bongo bong.
  12. #237
    These 10 are making Gold Town a fun place to be in for me:
    a500lbgorilla -- Love your work, want to see more.
    baudib -- Your strategy speaks to me.
    bikes – Saying little now but sounds like a solid guy to keep around for now.
    gabe – Inactive but sage, a keeper.
    GatorJH – I’m from Florida, loves me some gator meat.
    GrayFoxxxx – Hope to keep learning a lot from your battle with Baudib.
    Keith – Well-balance commentary, keeping an eye on you though.
    OngBonga – One word…Awesome
    Rong – Gets right to the point; I like that.
    Wufwugy – I have way too much to learn from him, keeper.

    These 3 are probly gonna be replaced, so no point wasting a vote:
    Credsfan03
    lolzzz_321
    SweetClaireRose

    Thus:
    bigred – Stumbled out of the blocks and has been silent since…LYNCH BIGRED
  13. #238
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    I guess wuf is just ignoring me then. Brb in a few hours to see what's gone down in Gold Town.
    Yes I am. You didn't have much of an accusation. You basically said that me and Baud could be wolves together. Um, okay. That's my defense. Okay

    When I said that about you and Baud, it was predicated on if I was right about Baud, and that was kinda the end of it. It's not much of an accusation at this point
  14. #239
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    Keybored's making no enemies. Going with the flow.
  15. #240
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    So far Baudib and wuf are wolves. The interaction seems kinda weak and staged.
    I disagree with you here. I think this interaction is beginning to look more like villager - villager than I was thinking before. Before I thought it was wolf - villager, I just couldn't decide which way round. Wuf feels like a villager, there's a few things he's done to make me think so but I'm not getting into that just yet. buadib is a player I have a lot of repsect for after such a short time playing, he's amongst the best of the noobs I've seen in my time, comparing with the likes of gizmo. The fact I haven't got much experience playing with him makes him difficult to read, but he has given me a little cause for concern, again something I'll elaborate on later if it still applies. But his recent stuff, I dunno, I'm not so sure he'd play aggressive wolf again after playing that way as a replacement in the last game. I think he'd try to adjust, worried that the village will be paranoid of him. He seems to be playing freely. So I'm thinking both are villagers and the wolves are observing.

    keybored's post is all sorts of awakward. I think good chance he's a wolf but then again he could just be new, so let's see how he responds to having the finger pointed at him.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  16. #241
    Don't like the people on the BigRed wagon.

    Most of the stated reasons people want to lynch BigRed can also be applied to Bikes. Bikes doesn't participate much early and gets hard to read later. Bikes may be a better villager than BigRed, but he's been wolfy.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  17. #242
    The thing with bigred is he does this every game. Bikes doesn't play all that often. It will be too easy for bigred to play wolf like this. Once d1 has passed, it becomes a lot harder to lynch people based purely on reputation, because now there's real info to work with. d1 is the only chance we get really to snaplynch bigred for the benefit of the game. The biggest wolf read I have is keybored, but I don't want to lynch a noob d1. I'd be well up for lynching lolz but he'll probably get replaced.

    Also, rong, the mod has confirmed already that the inactives will be replaced in alphabetical order. I'd have preferred random.org, but w/e, alphabetical is acceptable.

    Oh and I think rilla is a villager, based purely on his wuf rescind. Wuf dropped a teeny weeny villager tell in the post previous, I give wuf more of a villager lean, and rilla then rescinds. If anything it hints that rilla is thinking like me, so rilla can have a villager lean too.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  18. #243
    This is why I suggested the vig take care of these types.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  19. #244
    Oh and also bikes is a pretty bad wolf. I'm not intending to slap him down here, nor am I trying to brag, but I can read him. I have no idea how to read bigred, because all he does is post fluff early on. Bikes doesn't post fluff if you know what to look for in his posts.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  20. #245
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    This is why I suggested the vig take care of these types.
    I understand where you're coming from with this vig idea. But the fact is that the vig should play however he wants to. If the low content posters are annoying him, he can take a shot. If he has a read that he wants to follow up with, well he has the power. The vig will very likely pay little attention to your plan, and just do whatever he wants to. It's what I'd do.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  21. #246
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Don't like the people on the BigRed wagon.

    Most of the stated reasons people want to lynch BigRed can also be applied to Bikes. Bikes doesn't participate much early and gets hard to read later. Bikes may be a better villager than BigRed, but he's been wolfy.
    Bikes is always wolfy. Bikes rarely plays and sometimes brings stuff to the table. Bigred always plays yet never does anything. Go check out the DEADWOLF game on the 4v2 day. I had an impossibly hard time trying to get Bigred to pay the smallest amount of attention


    To reiterate, I think it is absolutely true that if the endgame village is weak, the wolves will win. Even if low-content players are likely villagers, they have to be killed off so the village of the final days is made up of people who can get the right lynches done. The DEADWOLF game is a prime example of an endgame village slacking and losing because of it
  22. #247
    Quote Originally Posted by rong View Post
    Not sure I even want to go down the road of this discussion but do we consider the three who haven't posted in our d1 lynch strategy? Seems unlikely we'll find 3 replacements and 3 modkills if all villagers would be pretty horific. But worse, if there's say only one replacement yet one of those 3 is a wolf I'm guessing the wolf would get replaced.

    MOD - ANY UPDATE WRT THIS?


    I've sent PMs to those three... no replies. I've also solicited substitutes via PM from 8 members... so far no replies and no posts in the separate "Substitution" thread.

    Given the lack of substitutes so far, I'm inclined to wait out inactives for another 24 hours. If we only find 1 sub, then alphabetical order takes priority over who gets switched out first.

    My preferred actions regarding the inactive players are as follows:

    No action (they become active soon) > substitutions > mass modkill (likely to take place during Day #2 cycle if still no activity + no subs available)
  23. #248
    bikes's Avatar
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    ok so lynching noobs is never cool on day 1. day 2 and 3 is a different story. let them at least experience the game a bit and then lynch them when we dont have a lot of good options. if they are wolves then they give themselves away anyway because noobiness. will post more after food. though i feel like this post shoulda been [meta]

    ?wut
  24. #249
    It's just so easy for the wolves to talk about lynching inactives all day.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  25. #250
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    It's just so easy for the wolves to talk about lynching inactives all day.
    Yup, but it's the lesser of two evils imo. Imagine bigred is actually a wolf. Well that effectively clears me and wuf, because I wouldn't want to throw him under the bus because he could be a winner, and I'd expect the same thoughts from wuf. Wolves talking about lynching inactives all day isn't all that easy. Wolves won't actually do it so blatantly simply because they'll worry it makes them stand out. More likely is a wolf will sit back and let villagers dominate conversation.

    baudib, why haven't you accused me of being a wolf yet? I'm not playing my usual d1 game, and I started the bigred wagon which you dislike. But you haven't taken a swing for me yet. Earlier I noticed you were swinging for both wuf and dan, while telling us you think I'm a villager. I'll be honest, that really struck me as an attempt to manipulate me, buddying me up while attacking those who I usually attack in early game, and is the reason I had you leaning wolf in my reads post. You have good reason now to swing for me, but you seem reluctant. Maybe you're not playing as freely as I thought you were.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  26. #251
    I don't see any evidence of you being a wolf yet.
  27. #252
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    I don't see any evidence of you being a wolf yet.
    Well for someone who has read all the last few games and knows more about my game than the average noob, this is very much alarming. When was the last time there were two people above me in the post count on d1? I was probably a wolf.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  28. #253
    To address your concerns, I'm playing freely but strategically.

    One of the things I liked from an old thread, don't remember who said it... One of the best things villagers can do is show other villagers why they're villagers. I've been trying to do this as well as look for signs in others. How people respond to things I say gives me tons of info.

    I suspected you would play more reserved this game coming in because you obviously take the game seriously and are probably tired of being mislynched.
  29. #254
    The Night 0 stuff with Wufwugy...I felt that Ong and Keith were suspicious of stuff Wuf said for the same reasons I was. These things gave me strong villager lean on Ong and Keith. Keith's jousting with me also gave him a strong village lean IMO.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  30. #255
    I suspected you would play more reserved this game coming in because you obviously take the game seriously and are probably tired of being mislynched.
    Getting mislynched when I'm not special is not something that bothers me all that much. My reserved play this game is actually more because I played so badly last game and basically annoyed everyone for no gain. Getting lynched was a relief. When I'm happy to be lynched, that tells me I need to change something or stop playing.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  31. #256
    Ong wolfin' obviously.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  32. #257
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Ong wolfin' obviously.
    lol
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  33. #258
    bikes's Avatar
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    i like how i havent played a WW game in umm, many moons but baudib having read back through all the WW games has me pegged. I actually can't recall the last time i was a wolf but was told if i wanna play i gotta post more early game instead of lurking until day 5.

    i dunno i am a pretty useless villager in the early game to about the middle mid game. because deciphering patterns and voting schemes doesn't come easy until you have something to work with. and the 'soulreading' people do on days 1 or 2 are usually a result of luck or someone made a massive mistake. tbh i think most everyone just posts noise until day 4ish but they way they vote is far more useful information when it comes down to it.

    that being said people who claim to be able to insta spot wolves on day 1-2 are running good, suffer from dunning kruger or are gabe. gabe is in his own category of awesomeness

    ?wut
  34. #259
    Lol wolf
  35. #260
    I'm so glad that Bikes mentioned Gabe. Bikes makes it a habit of just going along with what Gabe says. It's often his reason for his lynch pick, "Trust in Gabe." Which isn't terrible as far as default villager strat but what if Gabe's a wolf? So this would probably be the first time in WW history that Bikes didn't like Gabe's idea.

    Here, Bikes mentions the strat and piggybacks on Keith's argument and ignores Gabe's comments on it. Are you really suggesting that my idea makes it easier for the wolves to hide? Posting more makes the wolves harder to detect but the angel posting more somehow exposes himself to danger?


    Quote Originally Posted by bikes View Post
    am super inclined to agree with this, also it vexes me when someone uses the word unexploitable in ww. when it is obviously exploitable. just post a bunch and suddenly as a wolf you are never getting vig shot. whether you can pull off posting a bunch as a wolf remains but thats on the wolf.

    also agree with keith that the angel in most cases tends to be quiet in the first few days and with the no self angel clause you guys added many games ago you put the angel in the jackpot. which if you are gonna argue the angel can just post a bunch and not give him/herself away then this contradicts the aforementioned wolf belief.

    that all being said lynching noobs is lame because it discourages them from being interested in future games but on the other hand there isn't all that great of choice on day 1. this is why we need a pelion

    if none of this makes sense its cause i woke up early and have not had coffee. as i type this i wanna delete it all and drink coffee then post but w.e too late.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  36. #261
    Wolves have to lie or obfuscate. They have to make wishy-washy no-content posts or post about rules and regulations or talk about their former glories as villagers in past games. The angel doesn't have to do that because he doesn't have to lie or make shit up.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  37. #262
    Wufwugy - LDFO wolfBikes -- likely wolf

    GrayFoxx -- meh less convinced but still could be wolf. Feel like Wuf has been trying to distance himself from GF a lot

    Rong -- wolfy as usual.
    Keybored -- Gave him slight village lean for his earnestness alone but wowzer that last post.Among the noobs, I still think GF is wolfier, hard to believe someone in the den wouldn't warn Keybored against making a post like that.

    Gator -- always threat of being wolf, his status needs to be scrutinized later
    Keith -- likely villager, hard to detect if wolf
    OngBonga -- likely villager, if wolf there's no trouble getting an Ong wagon going. re-examine later
    Gabe -- leaning village but would likely lean village if he were a wolf too
    Rilla -- solidly village lean
    SweetClaireRose -- null

    Credsfan03 -- null
    BigRed -- likes cat pics
    lolzzz -- pretty much villager, based on Wuf's hard-on for him and Bikes subtly suggesting he could be up for a lolz wagon without actually bolding him (leaving no vote trail)

    baudib -- village
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  38. #263
    BTW I regard even talking about what the angel should or shouldn't do to be pretty wolfy. villagers generally don't do it.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  39. #264
    Keybored -- Gave him slight village lean for his earnestness alone but wowzer that last post.Among the noobs, I still think GF is wolfier, hard to believe someone in the den wouldn't warn Keybored against making a post like that.
    This doesn't strike me as particularly natural. How is GF wolfier than keybored? Why would someone in the den warn against a post like that? Do you expect that for keybored to be a wolf, his buddies are psychic and know what he's gonna post? If I were a wolf with keynored, I'd be telling him that post is awful, but it's done now. There's no warning him, the stuff experienced players say to noob wolves would be something along the lines of "don't go into meltdown if someone points the finger at you, and if you're unsure of anything, run it by us first". Experienced wolves can't stop noob wolves making dumb posts, they can just point out what's dumb about it so hopefully they improve.

    You seem to be very much "lolwolf" everytime you see something questionable. You call me a villager, see no reason to worry about me, then lolwolf me before towning me in your reads post while leaving the door open to easywagon me later. This does not come across as pro-village thinking.

    You seem to know much about bikes' past, yet you're not pulling any quotes or links up to support your claims. hell, even I don't know if bikes sheeps gabe in early game, I know that's jyms' favourite early game tactic but not sure about bikes. You seem to have a better idea of how people play this game than people who have been playing for years. I can't help but be massively suspicious of this.

    That reads list is extremely wolfy.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  40. #265
    fair
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  41. #266
    Day #1 Cycle is being extended another 24 hours--meaning it will end at precisely 2:57am Eastern Time, Tuesday morning.

    This decision is an attempt to give the inactive players (Credsfan03, lolzzz_321, SweetClaireRose) every opportunity possible to begin participating in the match and submit their lynch votes.

    I have not received replies to the PMs I sent these three specifically requesting their participation in the thread as of yet.
  42. #267
    post 387 from feds & drug smugglers, in gabe we trust. I think he's said it somewhere else but no idea where

    http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...11#post2160511
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  43. #268
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    Yes I am. You didn't have much of an accusation. You basically said that me and Baud could be wolves together. Um, okay. That's my defense. Okay

    When I said that about you and Baud, it was predicated on if I was right about Baud, and that was kinda the end of it. It's not much of an accusation at this point
    It wasn't the end of it. I wanted you to explain why voting for him would make me wolf, but not you. You saying that isn't an accusation isn't correct. I guess I cant force an answer out of you.

    The general town vibe is that Baudib is town, so I'll jump off of him for now. Still uneasy about it. Defending bigred gives him slight towny vibe, he could have just let a wagon build and not said a word.

    Rescind Baud

    Going with my next wolf pick

    Vote Wuf

    Keyboards post just looked like someone that doesn't want to be aggressive. I do not agree with the Bigred vote. Don't think we should discredit him for being inactive when there are 3 others in the same boat.

    gorilla is just being observant no real reads on him

    ong doesn't agree with my view on baudib and wuf being in a fake civil war. But ong correctly pegged me as a town. He also helped in my backing off of baud. So I'm thinking he is towny at this point.

    Bikes, meh I cant really tell where he is after agreeing with Kieth initially. Some people think he is wolf. I havent got that feeling at all.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  44. #269
    Ok baudib, granted you're reading up on old games and I accept your position on bikes.

    I'd like you to run through your thought process of villager - wolf - villager regarding me. You say I'm obviously wolfing, then I'm a villager in your reads post when all I posted in between was "lol", so this evolution of reads needs some explaining.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  45. #270
    Also rong has done a good job of staying out of the kitchen. Hasn't said anything susbstantial.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  46. #271
    ong doesn't agree with my view on baudib and wuf being in a fake civil war. But ong correctly pegged me as a town. He also helped in my backing off of baud. So I'm thinking he is towny at this point.
    If you're a villager and I'm right about you, that doesn't make me villagery. If I'm a wolf I would know if you're a villager or not. All I'm saying is don't be so quick to town people who town you.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  47. #272
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    It wasn't the end of it. I wanted you to explain why voting for him would make me wolf, but not you.
    I already did. I said that I thought he was calling you a wolf for really weak reasons

    Other than that, I'm not particularly concerned because it takes a handful of people to make a lynch and nobody else with think it's a big deal. Most of us don't make a habit of defending against things that don't have much chance of sticking. If you do that, people start thinking you're a frightened wolf
  48. #273
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Ok baudib, granted you're reading up on old games and I accept your position on bikes.

    I'd like you to run through your thought process of villager - wolf - villager regarding me. You say I'm obviously wolfing, then I'm a villager in your reads post when all I posted in between was "lol", so this evolution of reads needs some explaining.
    don't read too much into it. you seem to be suspicious of me because i'm not suspicious of you. i guess i get where you're coming from but sorry, i don't think you're a wolf. ok?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  49. #274
    Ong- so who is more wolfy? Wuf or Baud.

    Could you see them BOTH being wolf or are you 100% they aren't a team?
    Metal.....Gear!?
  50. #275
    rescind all votes, run a baud-wuf bandwagon. that should give the village the most information.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  51. #276
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    Ong- so who is more wolfy? Wuf or Baud.

    Could you see them BOTH being wolf or are you 100% they aren't a team?
    I think a wolf team of baudib and wuf is potentially very dangerous, as both will be active as hell in the den and would both want to sick it up. I'm not prepared to dismiss the idea altogether, there's a chance both are wolves.

    If I had to choose between one or the other for lynch today, I guess right now I'm leaning baudib, simply because he's making me more paranoid than wuf. So basically gut.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  52. #277
    duel rather
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  53. #278
    I posted that before seeing his suggestion that we run a wuf-baud 1 vs 1

    I'm not sure what to think now.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  54. #279
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    I already did. I said that I thought he was calling you a wolf for really weak reasons
    Could you help me understand this? If he is wolf he would have weak reasons knowing I am not a wolf as well. How does his reasoning even "weakly" indicate I could be a wolf. Your dismissal of this bothers me. Still looks like a subtle attempt to put me as a scapegoat if you two are wolves and Baud got lynched.

    Other than that, I'm not particularly concerned because it takes a handful of people to make a lynch and nobody else with think it's a big deal.You are right about this. Most of us don't make a habit of defending against things that don't have much chance of sticking.I dont buy your reason for thinking it had ANY reason of sticking. If you do that, people start thinking you're a frightened wolf.If you are the wolf this statement makes you unassailable.
    ^
    Metal.....Gear!?
  55. #280
    at minimum the thread will be a lot quieter. also if i'm wrong on Wuf and he gets lynched, surely I'll be gone tomorrow.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  56. #281
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    If you're a villager and I'm right about you, that doesn't make me villagery. If I'm a wolf I would know if you're a villager or not. All I'm saying is don't be so quick to town people who town you.
    Ill take that advice.
    Metal.....Gear!?
  57. #282
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    Still looks like a subtle attempt to put me as a scapegoat if you two are wolves and Baud got lynched.
    You're in luck. Wolves don't do this. Not only is it hard to plan for, but it's a very weak thing to plan anyways

    I think it is something that newbs will pick up on though. So good job at showing how you're a villager
  58. #283
    A Baud vs Wuf duel is premature. Only a couple players think we're wolfy. What we would find is that both wagons die down and the final lynch becomes Bigred or lolzzz or something that looks like less of a Day 1 mistake
  59. #284
    Wuf, you bolded me, so you must have thought there was a decent chance I'm a wolf. Are you saying that I could be an asset to the village? Because I don't see any way you're a villager here.

    If I'm wrong I deserve to die.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  60. #285
    Quote Originally Posted by GrayFoxxxx View Post
    Ill take that advice.
    I think the point is that you should try to determine why someone is towning you, try to figure out if their motive is sincere. I'm prepared to explain why I think you're a villager, it's not really the greatest town tell in the world when we talk about experienced players. Earlier you made a quote tag fail. That's all. But I would expect a noob wolf to preview his posts to ensure he's happy with what he's posting. Either you didn't do that, or you realised (or was told in the den) that the tag fail would make your post appear more natural. I would heavily lean the former in your case, I think you're just not bothered how your posts are perceived, which is extremely villagery from a noob. I'm not prepared to consider you a lock villager all game based on that alone, but it's enough for a d1 town read.

    baudib has also been making similar posts, only in his case I wouldn't be so surprised that he's doing it deliberately. He's already played half a game with us, as wolf, and has shown us that he's been reading up old games, so he could easily have realised post fails can natural. His performance last game was remarkable for a noob, and he's earned the respect of the regs. I think that's gonna work against him while people are still figuring him out.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  61. #286
    ong giving me too much credit. you guys decide if you think the duel is a good idea. i'll leave my vote on bikes for now.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  62. #287
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Wuf, you bolded me, so you must have thought there was a decent chance I'm a wolf. Are you saying that I could be an asset to the village? Because I don't see any way you're a villager here.

    If I'm wrong I deserve to die.
    The game is about gathering information and changing views based on new stuff. Because of this, I want to lynch you less than when I bolded you.
  63. #288
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    ong giving me too much credit. you guys decide if you think the duel is a good idea. i'll leave my vote on bikes for now.
    If it doesn't flow naturally, it's not a good idea. Half the players hate the idea of duels too. I used to like them but not anymore since they usually result in nothing that benefits the village
  64. #289
    I have no idea what to make of baudib's posturing here. How can he be so confident in a d1 read that he's prepared to 1 vs 1? I'm not even sure I've ever been that confident, and I certainly don't feel that I deserve to die for being wrong on d1. This just feels like "too balls out for wolf" kind of thinking, which I think is wolfy, not villagery.

    I don't particularly like the idea of a 1 vs 1 between the two most active players. I'm not confident enough there's a wolf between them to put my vote on either. baudib is very likely to be the one I'd go for though if my hand is forced.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  65. #290
    Substitution #1.

    BankItDrew has taken the place of Credsfan03. His non-factional role (for Narration purposes only) is Prospector.

    BankItDrew has received his role via PM and is welcome to participate in this thread.

    Credsfan03 is out due to inactivity.

    There are two pending substitutions. lolzzz_321 and SweetClaireRose. If these two players are interested in remaining in the game, they should begin posting as soon as possible. Remaining substitutions (if necessary) will take place in alphabetical order as soon as subs are confirmed.
  66. #291
    It's pretty crazy that buadib is happy enough with his wuf read that he's 1 vs 1 with him on d1, yet his vote is on bikes.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  67. #292
    omgyes rescind bigred lynch bid
  68. #293
    Yeah thanks for replacing in drew, here get lynched immediately.

    No thanks wuf.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  69. #294
    I think my reads on Wuf are pretty good. I like his style. There's certainly plenty of old material to look back on. I feel like I'm in his head.

    I could be making classic noobish mistake of just zeroing in on someone being a wolf and seeing everything he does through that lens. I'm still voting Bikes, but I could see how he could be a villager. GF looking more like a villager.

    Wuf? I don't see it at all.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  70. #295
    Day #1 ends Tuesday, 2:57am (Eastern Time)

    15 Players Remaining

    a500lbgorilla
    BankItDrew
    baudib
    bigred
    bikes
    gabe
    GatorJH
    GrayFoxxxx
    Keith
    Keybored
    lolzzz_321
    OngBonga
    rong
    SweetClaireRose
    wufwugy


    9 Regular Villagers
    1 Every Night Angel
    1 Odd Night Seer
    1 Even Night Vigilante
    3 Wolves
  71. #296
    ermagerd ur so in my head. whatever will a girl doooooooo
  72. #297
    Quote Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla View Post
    Keybored's making no enemies. Going with the flow.
    This exactly.
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  73. #298
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    The thing with bigred is he does this every game.

    Yes, when he is a villager. As much as a day one bigred lynch would make my week I can't get on board just yet.
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  74. #299
    lynching bid is always super hard. why? several reasons: some of the players think they read him super easy so they don't bother, i always feel so bad about how much i berate him that i never do the lord's work and get him lynched, and he's just kinda forgetful in a way like people don't even think losing to him as a wolf is any kind of loss

    im saying this to say that he's more likely a wolf or a special than just a vanilla due to getting subbed like that. it doesn't matter if he's a special because just like in his last game, we can all count on him to not even remember he has a power. so yeah, keep that in mind
  75. #300
    if bid's the angel, he's just going to protect himself, even though he cant. if he's the seer he's just going to look up himself because he'll think he's really the angel and protecting himself. if he's the vig, he'll probably try to shoot the mod because he's mad that he's not the angel so he can protect himself every night

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