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TPTK, 2 barrel or not 2 barrel? ($11)

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  1. #1
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    Default TPTK, 2 barrel or not 2 barrel? ($11)

    No reads nor stats on MP2. What's your line from here?

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t60 (10 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

    MP2 (t1760)
    MP3 (t1660)
    CO (t1460)
    Button (t1860)
    SB (t2380)
    BB (t2000)
    UTG (t1960)
    UTG+1 (t3020)
    UTG+2 (t1920)
    Hero (t1980)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, K.
    3 folds, Hero raises to t180, MP2 calls t180, MP3 calls t180, CO calls t180, 3 folds.

    Flop: (t810) K, 7, Q (4 players)
    Hero bets t420, MP2 calls t420, MP3 folds, CO folds.

    Turn: (t1650) J (2 players)
    Hero ?
  2. #2
    I'm not exactly a winning player but I would like to take a stab at this and see how my answer compares to others.

    I don't see how AT or 9T could call the flop. KQ, KJ, or a set are the only things that beat you here. You don't want to give odds to chase a flush or straight so any decent bet here would pretty much commit you to the pot so I say shove it.
  3. #3
    Flop - I'd lead stronger, 550-600 seems good. Your hand should be good but theres 3 opps and you need to give bad odds to drawing hands

    Turn - With MP2 only having about 1000 left I don't think you can ever fold. Shove turn, you get a good amount of calls from KT, JT and still have outs against KQ/KJ (AT not likely imo)
  4. #4
    I think you need to lead out for 600 on the flop although I wouldn't even hate a push here. Better players may disagree with that though
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by fjuanl
    Flop - I'd lead stronger, 550-600 seems good. Your hand should be good but theres 3 opps and you need to give bad odds to drawing hands

    Turn - With MP2 only having about 1000 left I don't think you can ever fold. Shove turn, you get a good amount of calls from KT, JT and still have outs against KQ/KJ (AT not likely imo)
    +1 to this, that is exactly how I would have played it. At a $11 tourney TPTK is very often the nuts.
  6. #6
    CoccoBill's Avatar
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    Does this look about right:

    3,784 games 0.012 secs 315,333 games/sec

    Board: Ks Qc Js 7d
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 48.322% 43.42% 04.90% 1643 185.50 { AdKc }
    Hand 1: 51.678% 46.78% 04.90% 1770 185.50 { QQ-TT, 77, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }


    Maybe I'm just making this more complicated than it needs to be, just trying to find a new angle.

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