|
|
 Originally Posted by Erudito
The 2% donation may suck you into a hand and that may cost a large amount of your stack. There's no logic to your statement.
The only way it will cost a large portion of my stack is if there is a cooler. Please don't assume I'm a nub and if I'm calling with 9T (or something similar) I'm stacking off if a 9 falls. This is just silly.
 Originally Posted by Erudito
I ran the hand SB in poker stove against 1 opp. and against 2 opp. Assuming that the hands for both unknown opp. are random hands.
According to poker stove, SB Equity against two random hands is about 33% and against a single opp. his equity is about 46%. Therefore, SB total equity if BB calls all the way to showdown is 15% equity that he will win both main pot and side pot.
I don't really understand why you're making this so complicated?
 Originally Posted by Erudito
But you will argue that the side pot is larger than the main pot, therefore SB would have an equity of 46% against BB.
What side pot? There is no side pot yet.
 Originally Posted by Erudito
This is a huge iff, if BB calls all the way to the showdown, SB equity is less than 50% and the worse case scenario is BB wins the side pot, thus eliminating SB, and UTG wins the main pot thus moving his position to second. Do you think this is worth the risk to finish third and gamble it?
We're not allin so again I don't understand your point?
 Originally Posted by Erudito
The way I see it is that BB did not know if SB was going to check all the way to the river.
Right, I was speaking on behalf of the bb with the sb calling. I guess the bb was bad and does not understand the whole "check through" unless someone hits something.
 Originally Posted by Erudito
If BB had knowledge that SB wouldn't create a side pot and check all the way to the river, BB would call because this would increase the chances of eliminating the short stack only if SB checked all the way to the river. If SB is going to be greed and try to win it all in this hand, then BB decision is correct to fold because he is giving a chance for SB to lose some of his stack if SB loses.
Or if you call with 95 and flop a big hand, and sb is still trying to be greedy, you will win the tournament? I just don't understand why you're going so deep into this because the only point I was making was he was getting 5.5:1 on his money to see a flop, costing him ~2% of his stack. He is no where near committed and it increases the chances of eliminating the shortie by a large margain.
 Originally Posted by Erudito
And even if SB wins and eliminates the UTG, the chips gained from the confrotation does not help SB stack that much.
Right, but adding 1k to your stack isn't a bad thing either.
 Originally Posted by Erudito
I would like to know how would you play SB (8s 6s) if BB re-raised all-in? Would you call or would you fold?
Um... fold? What kind of a question is this????
|