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A7 flops TPTK on the bubble ($27)

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  1. #1

    Default A7 flops TPTK on the bubble ($27)

    Opp's stats were 38/18/1.4 over 34 hands. I'm getting 3.3 to 1 on the river. Call?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $25+$2 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (4 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (Button) (t4170)
    SB (t2480)
    BB (t3310)
    UTG (t3540)

    Hero's M: 13.90

    Preflop: Hero is Button with A, 7
    1 fold, Hero raises to t500, 1 fold, BB calls t300

    Flop: (t1100) 6, 7, 4 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets t600, BB calls t600

    Turn: (t2300) 6 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks

    River: (t2300) 3 (2 players)
    BB bets t1000, Hero ????
  2. #2
    I would call.. he might be trying to steal the pot here..

    I might also just shove pre-flop.. Even though it's 15xbb, that prevents people from shoving over in which you'll have to fold..
    don't listen to a thing I say.. I can't beat 6.50s..
  3. #3
    yeah with a 38/18 in the BB raising just seems like a headache
  4. #4
    I expect to see total air almost never...given the table dynamic I think people rarely good out of line on a board this dry. On the river a good amount of hands that check/call flop have gotten there. There really aren't many bluffing opportunities unless its 89 or a gutshot.

    I'd fold river but in most cases bet the turn. Theres still a lot of hands that you can get value from
  5. #5
    This is going to sound weak tight, but with his stats I'm probably folding pre. Not to mention that he's got a close reshove stack.
  6. #6
    they don't have to play that loose at the bubble as their stats show.. I think they would be calling tight so I'd shove.. but you're right..

    shove > fold > raise
    don't listen to a thing I say.. I can't beat 6.50s..

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