24 FO Pair vs 4 flush

I'm 22/15 but that is 130 hands at table, villain is 26/10 over 39 hands, I have been folding a lot since he has been at table, no big pots either way.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 150/300 Blinds 25 Ante (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 (t4367)
MP3 (t5766)
CO (t12897)
Button (t20059)
SB (t10088)
Hero (BB) (t9563)
UTG (t5264)
UTG+1 (t8260)
MP1 (t25182)

Hero's M: 14.17

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, 6
4 folds, MP3 calls t300, 2 folds, SB calls t150, Hero checks

Flop: (t1125) 4, J, A (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP3 bets t600, 1 fold, Hero calls t600

Turn: (t2325) A (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks

River: (t2325) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets t1050, Hero?

How come no lead out on river... The way the hand's played out, I would think a flush would be totally believable from villain's POV..?

Anyhow I have to think on your 'as played' but I'm leaning towards a fold, even if villain could be betting very weak knowing better will fold often

Raising isn't an option unless we want to rep the absolute top range of 33 or 44 given the way the hand has played out, right? Total spew..? Can we assume a call from high/nut flush if we pushed here or are players a bit more savvy at these levels

all-in

Originally Posted by Penneywize

Raising isn't an option unless we want to rep the absolute top range of 33 or 44 given the way the hand has played out, right? Total spew..? Can we assume a call from high/nut flush if we pushed here or are players a bit more savvy at these levels

Originally Posted by baudib

all-in

Question answered, heh.

obviously we have 0 equity vs. his calling range but i think we are good here a non-trivial amount of time...we can't expect him to fold Ks/Qs (I think most of them bet the turn) but he'll be hard-pressed to call with, say, red AT and maybe he'll fold a Jc9s. he doesn't seem to want to play big pots so we have a lot of fold equity, maybe even a stupid amount.

edit: i expect him to have a FH here just about never.

I call, limpy fish love their suited hands and I don't think he has that many one-spade hands in his range. Also he seems too passive to be value betting without at least the queen. All-in is ridiculous.

this is really close, i'd prob call.

I actually think shove is kind of interesting you have to feel that he's folding everything but Ks or better tho.