$75 superstack, overbet bluffing a 4flush river

Villain is playing around 12/10, no history. On the river he has 7.7k. I'd like to hear about...

- His range for calling flop?
- My flop raise and sizing
- Anything about turn
- Anything about river
- Whether you think pre is a fold


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 120/240 Blinds 25 Ante (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t14636)
MP2 (t4284)
MP3 (t3815)
CO (t15669)
Hero (Button) (t21724)
SB (t8808)
BB (t8901)
UTG (t4618)
UTG+1 (t10221)

Hero's M: 37.14

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, Q
1 fold, UTG+1 bets t600, 4 folds, Hero calls t600, 2 folds

Flop: (t1785) 7, 5, 9 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets t720, Hero raises to t1800, UTG+1 calls t1080

Turn: (t5385) K (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

River: (t5385) J (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t8000

great hand

Analyzing stuff like this always depends heavily on our own image, n'est-ce pas?

pre: does anyone really fold KQs to a single raise ~90 BBs deep on the button? This isn't 2002.

flop: I like it, cbet looks weak, getting cheap price on bluff.

His calling range I think is midpairs and monsters that may or may not have a club and the nuts, I think we can rule out sets and he has about 0 non-nut flopped flushes except maybe KQcc.

Turn: I think we can bet for value but I think check is OK and we can value bet blank rivers...

River: ...or do this. presumably does not have the nuts and I suppose a shove is more convincing than a smaller bet he might hero call with TcTx or something...

I like pre/flop/turn.

surely he almost always has a club he likes when he calls flop. Maybe he folds 8x8c or 6x6c I guess but it seems like he'll have a bigger one a lot more. I'd for sure bluff 44 but here I think he'll just always fold hands you had beat anyway.

I dunno, your line looks so much like Ac I understand where you're coming from, seems like a spot they should fold AxTc but never do.

pre is meh. I would like to know more about how he plays postflop before I go calling with KQs here against an UTG+1 raiser who is running at 12/10

flop is okay. However, I believe there are better spots for us to play back at nits with. Since this board is so draw heavy however I don't mind this with our stack size so much.

turn seems fine

River I guess is okay again id like to know how this guy plays postflop and I would lean towards a shove and a small 1/4th to half pot bet since both should achieve the same thing.

Interesting, I posted this at the other forum and many people thought the turn check was really bad