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Thin value-shove on turn, raised flop TPTK, 50nl 6-max Bovada
I only had 13 hands on this guy, and in a previous hand, it was something like a limped pot, I flopped 2nd pair, I bet, and he raised me and I folded.
THen a 2nd hand came, I was the PFR'r, I forget what I had, 2nd pair or a weak top pair, I did a standard cbet, again this guy raises me huge on the flop and again, I felt I was forced to fold.
I was getting a little flustered, and was afraid that he might manipulate me into stacking off a lot lighter than I normally would.
Villain is MP1 with 98.5BB
Hero is CO with 100bb
I've got about 12 hands on this guy so far, this is the 13th hand, he's OL'd half of his hands, folds the other half and consistently raises IIRC, I don't take stats on raises in limped pots, but I know he had raised my cbet at least once earlier.
Villain:
12 hands played
VPIP 50
PFR 0
AGG 3.5
3BET 0.0
Hero is delt AhKs
UTG Folds
Villain (MP1) Open Limps
Hero PFR's to 4.5bb
BTN calls
SB folds
BB folds
MP1 calls
Pot is 15bb on flop
Flop comes
Ac 4s 6s
Villain checks to me
Hero bets 9.5bb
Villain then does a snap raise as he had done at least once earlier to 20bb
Against most people for me this is a fold, even with TPTK, As a "general" rule of thumb, I don't like getting set up for stacks as early as the flop with only TPTK, but this guy had raised my cbet earlier and I only had 12 hands on him at this point.
This time I went with it, and called
Pot is 55bb going into turn.
Turn is 2c
Villain leads out for 24.5bb
Pot would now be just shy of 80bb, and I have about a pot sized bet left in my stack
I felt this was really thin, and honestly was afraid that he used those previous raises in the game, to manipulate me into making a huge mistake and stacking off light.
Hero overbet shoves his remaining 75.5bb in his stack
Villain calls
Pot is 203bb before rake
Hero shows AKo
Villain shows up with A9o
river is 4c
Hero takes down 198.5bb pot after the rake.
Do you think this was a really risky move? I mean when I get raised on the flop, I usually get kinda scared, and usually fold. I just felt this guy had been playing back at me so much, maybe this was the time to play for stacks. But I could see a better player like my friend mentioned in other threads, manipulating me into stacking off with TPTK and he's showing up with two pair, a set or a pair+monster draw here at minimum every time.
My friend as mentioned in other threads, would have thought ahead here, and would know I'd look him up lighter after he raised the flop 2x earlier in the game, and would be picking this time to show up with a nutted hand.
Even though I won the hand, I'm just not entirely satisfied with my play, the guy was putting me in tough spots, but once I called that flop raise, I knew if he bet again, my whole stack was going in most likely.
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