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 Originally Posted by Keith
Jamming flop when we hit the best of it is marginally +EV and the rest (majority) of the time we are spewing small ,medium or large amounts of chips making getting into this pot in the first place a -EV proposition overall . Hence just fold pre with this stack size and position and sequence of events up to the preflop decision.
Pretty sure that there won't be a hand chart for this combination of events anywhere and you'll have timed out before you find it. Hence understanding the theory behind the decision making is far greater value in the long run than looking at hand charts.
Literally no idea what your talking about, you seem to have some delusion your opinion is the holy grail and what you think trumps all , you are wrong.
The probability of hitting your flush draw with two suited cards on the flop is 1/50/12 x 1/49/11 or approximately 1 chance in 18.5 tries multiplied by 100% plus 11/48 or a total percentage probability of 8.21% or about 1 in 12 attempts
12:1 to flop our NFD. Pot odds = 9.5 :1 we need to make up 3bb later on which is fine, we would like to have more implied odds but we have 37bb our implied odds are decent enough there are many players in the pot. I didn't mention our small chance to flop trips or two pair which could make up for our call ( am I saying 2-pair or trips gives us the best hand or that we need to shove it all in when we flop them ? NO)
Jamming flop may not be best that part is correct because we don’t know how players behind will react and we need would need 2 calls on our jam which is slightly optimistic however if we assume everyone at the table is a fish like you claim then it would be +EV all day right? no. when we play these types of hands and have the discipline to play correctly this hand is fine to come in this pot with. If we flop an Ace and Pre flop aggressor c-bets into 4 people we can fold our Ace pretty confidently , if we flop trips Or two pair we can play intelligently and react differently depending on which player types make which actions. We can get it all in and with the FD if we play by pot odds and pot equity. If I had reads villains behind me would call the .35 raise this could be argued that it's a call , it could be argued its a call anyways given range of utg and his half pot bet on the flop, he needs to call .25c I have just called increasing his pot odds and the Q is good for his range.
Calling was not as bad as you may think, if we call the .35c raise we have .30c in our stack and pot will be $1.11, Pre-flop aggressor has range advantage the Q his range well and he has bet 1/2 pot into 4 people alreaady, He could also have PP he is more likely to call after I call. Not to mention everyone in hand is fish right bro? You see if your going to make these types of claims you can't minipulate your reasoning later down the line. Anyways,
UTG Flop Range: QQ+,AQs+,KQs,AQo+
16.5% Equity
BU Range Raising Range: QQ,77,22,AQs,Q7s,Q2s,72s,Kd7d,Jd7d,9d7d,8d7d,Kd2d, Jd2d,Td2d,AQo,Q7o,Q2o,72o
= 52% Equity
A8dd = 31.3% Equity
We call the .30c,
.30c left, pot is 1.46 player behind called, turn comes comes a brick,
checks to bb who raises it lets say .75,
pot is 1.76 .30 to call
5.8:1
need to be good 1 in 6.8 times, = 100/6.8= 14.7% and we have 18% Equity, this is the worst case scenario, we could turn a flush, a pair to pickup more equity or a high-card can come on the board giving UTG more equity increasing the chances of both players staying in the pot and increasing our pot odds.
But yet again, you claim BU is fish as-well so we are giving BU not just sets and 2 pairs which would increase our Equity right? see how you sound?
I don't follow hand charts blindly again you sound like someone who likes to manipulate information to prove your egotistical theory's . I READ THE WHOLE BOOK , do you think a Poker professional is going to make a book about mastering small stakes and give you hand-charts with no guide on how to play your hands in different scenarios? He has 14 great selling Poker Books, I'm trying to give you credit for having a higher IQ than you are showing but your making it difficult. Instead of Originally responding with class and respect trying to help out someone less skilled than you while teaching what you seem to have a passion for in a manner that is enjoyable for both parties you decided to turn this thread into an aggressive back and forth attack. what does this say about your character? For somebody who is looking to be a poker coach to people I am not suprised you are asking around for people to coach, if you want to be a successful coach you have to be able to give advice in a way that is not hostile and arrogant. Learn from Jon Little
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