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AJ top trips and villain overbets river
Villain is 27/19/ 1.1AF after 100 hands - though he has 7% 3bet and 40% steal. He started the session pretty nitty and has been opening up lately (and I have tightened up) as I reached 50% steal.
I don't see him raising the turn with middle pairs, so it looks like sets, Jx (probably TJ-AJ) and bluffs. When I call the raise and he overbets the river I think we lose the weaker Jx hands - leaving it at maybe 33/44/QJ/KJ/AJ for value and bluffs.
Does this look about right for a value range? If so then I think we can safely fold, as I doubt he has bluffs often enough.
Poker Stars No-Limit Hold'em, €0.10 BB (4 handed) - Poker Stars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com
BB (€17.68)
UTG (€10.72)
Hero (Button) (€11.20)
SB (€13.26)
Preflop: Hero is Button with A, J
1 fold, Hero raises €0.25, SB calls €0.20, BB calls €0.15
Flop: (€0.75) J, 3, 4 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets €0.40, SB calls €0.40, 1 fold
Turn: (€1.55) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets €1, SB raises €2.50, Hero calls €1.50
River: (€6.55) Q (2 players)
SB bets €10.11 (All-In) Hero? ($8 to call)
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