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[10NL] JJ river decision
Villain is 28/21 with 8% 3bet over 501 hands. FTCB 31%.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (UTG): $11.09
MP: $10.00
CO: $2.87
BTN: $19.67
SB: $12.60
BB: $21.43
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J J
Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) T K 6
BB checks, Hero bets $0.45, BB raises to $1.10, Hero calls $0.65
Turn: ($2.85, 2 players) 8
BB bets $3.00, Hero calls $3.00
River: ($8.85, 2 players) 6
BB bets $17.03 and is all-in, Hero ???
OK, somewhat similar to the earlier hand I posted - I'm struggling to see exactly what villain's value range is. I guess he could check raise with a set/top 2 but it's pretty dry board so I'm not sure how likely that is. He could c/r with all his draws like QJ, 98, 97 and 87 as well.
He bombs the turn - I'm not sure what this means? The board is fairly dry so he doesn't need to do it for protection. Is he just trying to blow me off of my hand?
River pairs the board. Which means villain is less likely to have c/r with 66. That leaves his c/r value range at TT and KT...nothing else. Villain prob 3bets AK and c/c with KQ/KJ.
Pot is $15.54 and effective stack if $6.69. Again, just under 2.5:1 - soooo, yeah, help please?
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