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[10NL] 22...Flop a set...weird line from villain. What's his range?

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  1. #1

    Default [10NL] 22...Flop a set...weird line from villain. What's his range?

    Villain is unknown.

    PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    SB: $10.93
    BB: $9.05
    UTG: $13.75
    MP: $10.52
    CO: $23.35
    Hero (BTN): $10.00

    SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

    Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 2 2

    UTG raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold

    Flop: ($0.75, 2 players) 9 2 K
    UTG bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

    Turn: ($1.55, 2 players) 5
    UTG checks, Hero bets $0.85, UTG calls $0.85

    River: ($3.25, 2 players) Q
    UTG checks, Hero bets $2.30, UTG raises to $12.20 and is all-in, Hero ???


    www.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: 9dKh2c5cQs
    Equity Win Tie
    MP2 75.68% 75.68% 0.00% { KK-QQ, 99, 55, KQs, JTs, KQo, JTo }
    BU 24.32% 24.32% 0.00% { 2d2s }

    I have 24% equity against the range I gave villain and I need to be good just under 1/3 of the time to be able to call, so it looks like a fold?

    Is that ridiculous to fold here? His line just makes no sense, I don't know what to make of it.
    Last edited by Cobra_1878; 01-30-2014 at 12:47 PM.
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  2. #2
    No way he's ever c/c the turn with KK , 99 or 55. So as I see it he's either holding JT - QQ or KQ + bluffs
    It's close maybe slightly towards folding but.. I would call.
  3. #3
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    call and stack his aces.
    flop you can just raise vs an unknown, calling is ok too though.
  4. #4
    Looks like he was slowrolling you on turn, but you only have to add so little to call the river, I'd still call it. But folding is ok too, very often u save by folding as much as u winn by calling.
    If things were to magically revert to January 1st, 2003, only I could take everything I know now in terms of poker ability/knowledge, bonus clearing, etc., I think it's safe to say that it would be trivially easy to make over a million dollars.
  5. #5
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    assigning ranges to unknowns is difficult. By unknown, do you have zero hands on him? if you have even a few then post some stats.
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by daven View Post
    assigning ranges to unknowns is difficult. By unknown, do you have zero hands on him? if you have even a few then post some stats.
    This is villain's first hand he has played out of 8.
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.
  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cobra_1878 View Post
    This is villain's first hand he has played out of 8.
    ok, so this makes a big difference. Raise flop, as played pot turn, fold river as played.
    use the info available.
  8. #8
    Lukie's Avatar
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    interesting (to me anyway): every non-paired card on the river completes a straight.

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