A WTF flop spot with a draw.

this is a spot where almost everyone makes the mistake of not jamming. just jam. so many things have to 'go right' for calling to be best. with this small of a sample just seize your equity and your fold equity on the flop

I dont like calling here coz i hate folding the turn and a turn ship has a lot less fold equity and ull never really get the right price to call the turn. I agree with dozer that some ppl at 100NL will take this line with the middle of their value range coz they dun want to call down Q10 on this board oop. That c/r is pretty exploitable coz their raise/folding sometimes and coz ur perceived range is always either a combo draw or a strong value hand. Against their nutted range u have a lot of pot equity and if some ppl are doing this with the middle of their value range then shipping flop is always better.


Board: Qd Jd 6h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.664% 41.66% 00.00% 16499 0.00 { 9d8d }
Hand 1: 58.336% 58.34% 00.00% 23101 0.00 { KK+, 66, AdKd, AQs, AdTd, Ad6d, KdTd, QJs, AQo, QJo }


If ur plan is to call the flop and fold the turn its pretty -EV coz u gotta call 10 into 25 and ur not getting the right price for ur pot equity and not all ur outs are clean.

I would also rather 3b this preflop against a new player on the table. It also protects u from getting squeezed from the blinds which would be quite frequent given the way its been played out. However if u only 3b a polarized range then probably flatting is best.