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Here is a case-in-point. This hand was actually played at Ultimate Bet but I modified the hand history format so that it could be played back on the PartyPoker Hand Replayer (what a pain in the ass that was!). But I know it's sooooooooo much easier to watch a hand through the replayer than sifting through the text of the hand history:
***** Hand History for Game ????????? *****
0/0 TexasHTGameTable (NL)
Table Card Room Table XXXX (Real Money) -- Seat 4 is the button
Total number of players : 8
Seat 1: Player1 ( $60.45)
Seat 2: Player2 ( $23)
Seat 3: Player3 ( $35.25)
Seat 4: Player4 ( $49.05)
Seat 5: Player5 ( $24.30)
Seat 6: ME ( $47.40)
Seat 7: Player7 ( $46.80)
Seat 8: Player8 ( $39.35)
Player5 posts small blind (0.25)
ME posts big blind (0.50)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to ME [ Qd, Qc ]
Player7 calls (0.50)
Player8 raises (1) to 1
Player1 folds.
Player2 folds.
Player3 folds.
Player4 folds.
Player5 calls (0.75)
ME raises (1.50) to 2
Player7 calls (1.50)
Player8 raises (2) to 3
Player5 folds.
ME calls (1)
Player7 calls (1)
** Dealing Flop ** : [ 5h, Td, 8c ]
ME checks.
Player7 checks.
Player8 checks.
** Dealing Turn ** : [ Qh ]
ME bets (10)
Player7 raises (40) to 40
Player8 folds.
ME calls (30)
** Dealing River ** : [ 2d ]
ME checks.
Player7 bets (3.80) to 3.80
Player7 is all-in
ME calls (3.80)
** Summary **
Main Pot: $97.60 | Rake: $2
Board: [ 5h Td 8c Qh 2d ]
Player1 balance $60.45, didn't bet (folded)
Player2 balance $23, didn't bet (folded)
Player3 balance $35.25, didn't bet (folded)
Player4 balance $49.05, didn't bet (folded)
Player5 balance $23.80, lost $0.50 (folded)
ME balance $96.20, bet $46.80, collected $95.60, net +$48.80 [ Qd Qc ] [ three of a kind, queens -- Qd,Qc,Qh,Td,5h ]
Player7 balance $0, lost $46.80 [ Kc Kh ] [ a pair of kings -- Kc,Kh,Qh,Td,8c ]
Player8 balance $36.35, lost $3.00 (folded)
I felt pretty comfortable that Player7 didn't have the J9 for the straight based on the fact that he stayed pre-flop with a $3 raise on the table. The board probably couldn't have been much better for me in that I hit my set and no card higher than his KK came up and there was no flush opportunity along with my feelings that he did not hold the cards for the straight. I put him on KK or AA.
Back to my betting strategy. My $10 bet on the turn was meant to see if he would fold or come out firing and as you can see, he came out guns a blazin'! Since he was showing the aggression, I could just feel him heading toward going all-in. I felt that I could ride this hand out with him eventually going all-in on his own by just calling his bets.
Looking back, that was probably too big a bet on the turn. I would have probably been better served to bet perhaps half the pot ($5) instead. However, as it turns out it didn't matter. When that Q came up on the turn and I bet he probably assumed I was chasing the straight.
Any thoughts? Also, this just happens to be my biggest pot and I just wanted to share my good fortune with all of you!
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