Standard AA situation

50NL, 100bb deep, 4th hand at table

Folded to me in CO and I make it 4bbs with AA
Unknown with 250bbs in BB calls

Flop is K73r, opponent c/calls 7bb bet

Turn is K completing the rainbow, opponent checks and I check behind

River is a Jack and opponent pots

Am I fine to just turbomuck here?

i'd bet/fold the turn to save you this river dilemna

I'd play it the same and call more often on the river then fold. Timing and any reads are relevant to that. I feel like your gonna induce more bluffs by taking that line and there's really not a lot of value in betting the turn without different reads.

Thanks for the responses guys, allow me to elaborate a bit:

My first instinct was to call, but then I realised that I only really beat a bluff, and in order for villain to bluff on such a dry board, villain would have to do one of the following:

a) Turn 44-TT into a bluff. I really can't see a 50NLer doing that. (I also can't see him vbetting thinly).
b) Have c/called me OOP with the intention of bluffing me later. Surely if villain wanted to defend himself against aggression he'd c/r flop more often than float OOP?

I asked myself whether villain was doing a) or b) more than 1/3 of the time, and the answer felt like a no.


Am I missing something/overthinking this? I do have AA in a small raised pot..

I think it's definitely a river fold as played but I definitely would have bet the turn. Not to save yourself the drama as Vi suggested though. Against an unknown I bet turn to get loose calls with PPs simply because I believe there's more value in it than checking behind the turn and betting the river if checked to. And yes, it does save you a tough river decision if he raises the turn too I suppose.

Imo it's very unlikely that an underpair is calling more often to a river bet than a turn bet. The bet-check-bet line on dry boards is still considered to be stronger than bet-bet by most.

Would you be barreling with air?