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 Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
Originally Posted by elipsesjeff
I'm interested to know what player 3bets preflop then doesnt lead the flop? I think there is strong chance you're getting taken for a ride.
In a multiway pot with A high and you have KK/QQ, your a nit, and you don't cbet when you dont hit. That's what.
What would the non-nits at FTR do? Checking an A high flop with KK/QQ to induce a bluff was the hot shit round here.
About the results orientedness...
Code:
Board: 9c Ad Js
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 20.821% 20.82% 00.00% 44523 0.00 { T9s, T9o }
Hand 1: 79.179% 79.18% 00.00% 169317 0.00 { KK-QQ, AQs+ }
p = prob they fold
we want ev > 0
prob fold * pot + prob don't fold( equity*pot - villain's equity*bet) > 0
p * 54 + (1-p) (0.21*137 - .79*85) > 0
54p + (1-p)(-38) > 0
92p > 38
p > 40% for zero eV
So if hero gets called, his expectation is -38, if he doesn't get called it's +54. If villain folds 50% of the time this has an expectation of +$8. I can't say if 50% is reasonable. (and I hope my maths are right)
It also wouldn't kill you to start using the hand converter
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