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Few Overbet Hands
Some (or all) of these might be bad spew. But after the recent talk of overbetting in the other thread, I felt kinda compelled to look for spots during my last session where overbetting might be better than the line I typically would choose, since it's something I don't really do that often. So here are a few of the hands where I overbet, and am unsure whether it's best or just plain bad/horrid.
Hand 1 - Villain is a 25/18 reg (FR + 6m stats). Only have 500 hands on him at FR where he is 16/13. He has a flop cbet of 62%. 86% fold to 3bet over FR sample.
UTG: $70.00
UTG+1: $101.50
MP: $62.20
MP+1: $106.71
CO: $112.69
Hero (BTN): $103.00
SB: $102.94
BB: $86.55
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 6 7
fold, UTG+1 raises to $3.00, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $3.00, fold, fold
Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) T 7 K
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $4.58, UTG+1 calls $4.58
Turn: ($16.66, 2 players) 3
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $30.00
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Hand 2 - Villain is a 22/18 reg (2.8k hands). Total 3bet of 7%. 9% 3b SB v BTN. C/r Flop of 4% (2/56).
MP: $58.45
CO: $43.27
Hero (BTN): $206.78
SB: $192.47
BB: $100.00
UTG: $127.08
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has T T
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.00, SB calls $2.50, fold
Flop: ($7.00, 2 players) 4 3 2
SB checks, Hero bets $4.26, SB calls $4.26
Turn: ($15.52, 2 players) 4
SB checks, Hero bets $9.66, SB calls $9.66
River: ($34.84, 2 players) 9
SB checks, Hero bets $50.00
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Hand 3 - Villain is 27/16 over 300 hands. Here's a note I took on him from earlier in the session:
[P] 3b AQs BTN v MP
bet/called small on 875r flop
called overshove (1.3p) on Q turn
UTG: $55.72
Hero (CO): $80.47
BTN: $43.59
SB: $50.00
BB: $106.28
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 9 T
UTG raises to $1.00, Hero calls $1.00, fold, SB calls $0.75, fold
Flop: ($3.50, 3 players) A 6 8
SB checks, UTG bets $3.08, Hero calls $3.08, fold
Turn: ($9.66, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.95, UTG calls $5.95
River: ($21.56, 2 players) Q
UTG checks, Hero bets $62.00 [Effective 2x pot shove]
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Hand 4 - Villain is a 25/21 reg (9.1k hands). Total 3bet 9%. 12% BB v BTN 3b. C/r Flop of 14% (31/222). Fold to cbet of 38% (68/180) on flop, 41% (19/46) on turn, and 38% (5/13) on river.
CO: $169.37
Hero (BTN): $100.00
SB: $147.52
BB: $107.38
SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00
Pre Flop: (pot: $1.50) Hero has 7 J
fold, Hero raises to $2.00, fold, BB calls $1.00
Flop: ($4.50, 2 players) T 6 T
BB checks, Hero bets $2.68, BB calls $2.68
Turn: ($9.86, 2 players) A
BB checks, Hero bets $6.00, BB calls $6.00
River: ($21.86, 2 players) 7
BB checks, Hero bets $40.00,
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