His fold to 3b otb would be a helpful stat here. I think he would expect u to bet most of your value range on the turn given the board texture. So even if u put him on the range u did it will be hard for him to put u on something that beats that that is betting the river for value. River sizing looks pretty callable too given his range.


I dont get the flop call with no equity/sd if you arent going to be taking it away on later streets. With some backdoor equity like you have I would rather raise flop and bet turn on 10+ or a spade or a middling connected card.