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50NL AK rivers TPTK vs fish
Yo guys. Been a while since I posted, but now I've cashed out for my summer trip etc and am focussing on playing loads more to rebuild, I'm looking to get back into the swing of regular HH reviews.
So villain here is 47/13 over 25 hands. I don't like his flop sizing much here, but feel I raise here given these overcards and J Q K A all being very +EV cards for me on the turn. No need to make it too huge since I'm mainly only getting immediate folds from his air. Don't hate a fold vs this sizing either.
I decide to take a free card on the turn, think he's folding very little of his flop continuing range and our equities just decreased, std again.
I obv plan on value betting this river but then he snap donks pot. Like this was so fast. I don't think he does this with anything that makes a pair of Ks on the river so unpaired busto flushdraws or random bricked gutters are all the air he can really have with this line. Nor do I really expect him to turn some pair of Ts into a bluff like this pretty much ever. He certainly has shit like sets, including TT and KK, KT, 67 and A2, and so think he reps a fair amount of nut type hands here and yeah sizing and timing make me want to fold.
Thoughts?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($36.75)
SB ($39.05)
BB ($50)
Hero (UTG) ($60.90)
MP ($50)
CO ($21.60)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, K
Hero bets $1.50, 3 folds, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold
Flop: ($3.50) 10, 4, 5 (2 players)
SB bets $2.65, Hero raises $7, SB calls $4.35
Turn: ($17.50) 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks
River: ($17.50) K (2 players)
SB bets $16.65, Hero?
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