#1: Now wait a minute!

For one thing this villain was very loose OTB. I had his ATS at 80%.
Are you guys taking into account that I am very likely perceived as a weak player by a reg who has never seen me before?

In my opinion a LAG reg is going to bet flop and turn like this with any top pair. That's probably never going to happen against a feared opponent like Sauce, but against someone he has never seen it seems pretty standard to me.

If I c/c I might not stack him when I let him check behind his weak TP. I also might not stack him if I hit the flush. In my opinion he will definitely not fold top pair if I shove after putting in over half his stack.

I really didn't feel like he was bluffing. If I would have thought that he was bluffing then certainly I would have chosen to c/c.


#2: Yeah with this sizing it's just a terrible suicide watch spot if I get shoved on. B/c smaller seems like a pretty sweet line.


#3: Agree 100% that leading this hand is probably not optimal as a balanced strategy. I just feel like this is going to induce a ridiculous amount of floats by hands that wouldn't give me any action if I checked. Again very much because of the fact that I'm unknown. I would never lead here against anyone who knows my game, that goes without saying.