1/2 - set on 3-flush turn and blank river

Villain is one of the best 1/2 regs imo. Running 24/18/2.3 over a lot of hands, 3bets MP 4%, folds to cbets 50%, raises cbets 12%. He probably thinks I'm super stationy because I've made a couple of bad hero calls vs. him. He might also think I'm aggro (which I am) as he has slowplayed me a couple of times, although not on boards this drawy.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

BB ($235.95)
Hero (UTG) ($205)
MP ($200)
Button ($371.40)
SB ($253.35)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 3, 3
1 fold, Hero bets $6, MP calls $6, 2 folds

Flop: ($15) 3, 8, 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $12, MP calls $12

Turn: ($39) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $33, MP calls $33

River: ($105) Q (2 players)
Hero... ($149 behind)

$28/fold

Originally Posted by pocketfours

$28/fold

How can you induce like that, and then fold?

I'd rather bet $28/call, but I'd probably bet like $70 here. You're utg, he has plenty of hands like 99-JJ and stuff, and possibly even some AdQ/AxQd type hands.

I think betting big on river is likely value towning yourself. I think c/c is pretty dece here. Betting small is fine too, i'd fold to a raise as well.

I like 58-60$, fold to a shove. I think 28$ looks valueish from 99+, Qx and he's very likely to bluff shove if he can hand read well.

Had a similar spot yesterday where I had the flush here and bet 1/3 pot and guy bluff shoved.